The index is -7.7% from its 6-month POC.
14 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 5 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.
Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP
Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. Stats are historical, not predictions.
| # | Stock | Signal | Spot | 6M POC | % from POC | Upside to POC | Value area (VAL–VAH) | Hist 60d hit | Hist 60d ret | Opt liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HCLTECH | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,168 | ₹1,665 | -42.5% | +42.5% | 1,367.3 – 1,780.1 | 73% | +10.0% | MED |
| 2 | TCS | Q1 · DEEP | ₹2,293 | ₹3,220 | -40.4% | +40.4% | 2,478.6 – 3,350.0 | — | — | HIGH |
| 3 | INFY | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,178 | ₹1,595 | -35.4% | +35.4% | 1,283.3 – 1,728.0 | — | — | HIGH |
| 4 | HDFCBANK | Q1 · DEEP | ₹789.3 | ₹925.6 | -17.3% | +17.3% | 763.9 – 966.3 | 66% | +4.2% | HIGH |
| 5 | M&M | Q1 · DEEP | ₹3,120 | ₹3,630 | -16.4% | +16.4% | 3,169.7 – 3,807.8 | — | — | LOW |
| 6 | HDFCLIFE | Q1 | ₹618.5 | ₹756.1 | -22.2% | +22.2% | 618.4 – 787.8 | 67% | +10.2% | MED |
| 7 | BAJAJFINSV | Q1 | ₹1,810 | ₹2,047 | -13.1% | +13.1% | 1,782.5 – 2,109.7 | 71% | +13.2% | MED |
| 8 | INDIGO | Q1 | ₹4,482 | ₹4,948 | -10.4% | +10.4% | 4,262.6 – 5,063.3 | — | — | LOW |
| 9 | SBIN | Q1 | ₹977.0 | ₹1,068 | -9.3% | +9.3% | 970.6 – 1,115.0 | — | — | HIGH |
| 10 | MAXHEALTH | Q1 | ₹990.5 | ₹1,077 | -8.7% | +8.7% | 994.9 – 1,099.2 | — | — | LOW |
| 11 | KOTAKBANK | Q1 | ₹391.6 | ₹425.2 | -8.6% | +8.6% | 379.5 – 445.6 | — | — | HIGH |
| 12 | SBILIFE | Q1 | ₹1,896 | ₹2,016 | -6.4% | +6.4% | 1,893.7 – 2,105.3 | — | — | MED |
| 13 | ICICIBANK | Q1 | ₹1,296 | ₹1,365 | -5.3% | +5.3% | 1,279.9 – 1,429.5 | 68% | +6.2% | HIGH |
| 14 | BEL | Q1 | ₹421.1 | ₹438.7 | -4.2% | +4.2% | 412.6 – 454.7 | — | — | LOW |
Full Nifty 50 scan
Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.
Show all 50 names
| Stock | Signal | Spot | 6M POC | % from POC | VAL | VAH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCLTECH | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,168 | ₹1,665 | -42.5% | ₹1,367 | ₹1,780 |
| TCS | Q1 · DEEP | ₹2,293 | ₹3,220 | -40.4% | ₹2,479 | ₹3,350 |
| INFY | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,178 | ₹1,595 | -35.4% | ₹1,283 | ₹1,728 |
| HDFCLIFE | Q1 | ₹618.5 | ₹756.1 | -22.2% | ₹618.4 | ₹787.8 |
| HDFCBANK | Q1 · DEEP | ₹789.3 | ₹925.6 | -17.3% | ₹763.9 | ₹966.3 |
| M&M | Q1 · DEEP | ₹3,120 | ₹3,630 | -16.4% | ₹3,170 | ₹3,808 |
| BAJAJFINSV | Q1 | ₹1,810 | ₹2,047 | -13.1% | ₹1,782 | ₹2,110 |
| ETERNAL | MID | ₹252.5 | ₹284.9 | -12.8% | ₹246.4 | ₹305.6 |
| INDIGO | Q1 | ₹4,482 | ₹4,948 | -10.4% | ₹4,263 | ₹5,063 |
| SBIN | Q1 | ₹977.0 | ₹1,068 | -9.3% | ₹970.6 | ₹1,115 |
| MAXHEALTH | Q1 | ₹990.5 | ₹1,077 | -8.7% | ₹994.9 | ₹1,099 |
| KOTAKBANK | Q1 | ₹391.6 | ₹425.2 | -8.6% | ₹379.5 | ₹445.6 |
| SBILIFE | Q1 | ₹1,896 | ₹2,016 | -6.4% | ₹1,894 | ₹2,105 |
| ICICIBANK | Q1 | ₹1,296 | ₹1,365 | -5.3% | ₹1,280 | ₹1,430 |
| HINDUNILVR | MID | ₹2,216 | ₹2,308 | -4.2% | ₹2,219 | ₹2,435 |
| BEL | Q1 | ₹421.1 | ₹438.7 | -4.2% | ₹412.6 | ₹454.7 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | MID | ₹960.4 | ₹1,000 | -4.1% | ₹940.8 | ₹1,080 |
| RELIANCE | MID | ₹1,364 | ₹1,399 | -2.6% | ₹1,331 | ₹1,461 |
| POWERGRID | MID | ₹295.2 | ₹300.2 | -1.7% | ₹271.7 | ₹323.9 |
| TECHM | MID | ₹1,442 | ₹1,459 | -1.2% | ₹1,318 | ₹1,587 |
| LT | MID | ₹4,025 | ₹4,060 | -0.9% | ₹3,811 | ₹4,189 |
| JIOFIN | MID | ₹241.1 | ₹242.2 | -0.5% | ₹225.9 | ₹271.2 |
| ITC | MID | ₹303.1 | ₹304.1 | -0.3% | ₹295.0 | ₹333.3 |
| ONGC | MID | ₹286.9 | ₹285.1 | +0.6% | ₹258.9 | ₹303.0 |
| ULTRACEMCO | MID | ₹11,673 | ₹11,595 | +0.7% | ₹11,316 | ₹12,720 |
| TATACONSUM | MID | ₹1,188 | ₹1,177 | +0.9% | ₹1,097 | ₹1,201 |
| TITAN | MID | ₹4,155 | ₹4,086 | +1.7% | ₹3,888 | ₹4,301 |
| JSWSTEEL | MID | ₹1,295 | ₹1,273 | +1.7% | ₹1,159 | ₹1,293 |
| MARUTI | MID | ₹13,240 | ₹13,018 | +1.7% | ₹12,253 | ₹15,375 |
| BHARTIARTL | MID | ₹1,865 | ₹1,833 | +1.7% | ₹1,757 | ₹2,017 |
| WIPRO | MID | ₹207.6 | ₹203.4 | +2.0% | ₹186.5 | ₹243.3 |
| AXISBANK | MID | ₹1,308 | ₹1,271 | +2.9% | ₹1,219 | ₹1,351 |
| BAJFINANCE | MID | ₹945.6 | ₹916.3 | +3.1% | ₹893.3 | ₹1,016 |
| EICHERMOT | MID | ₹7,387 | ₹7,125 | +3.5% | ₹6,846 | ₹7,418 |
| TRENT | MID | ₹4,282 | ₹4,090 | +4.5% | ₹3,811 | ₹4,329 |
| DRREDDY | MID | ₹1,337 | ₹1,271 | +4.9% | ₹1,239 | ₹1,335 |
| SUNPHARMA | MID | ₹1,820 | ₹1,720 | +5.5% | ₹1,686 | ₹1,842 |
| NTPC | MID | ₹390.0 | ₹367.6 | +5.8% | ₹350.5 | ₹407.9 |
| CIPLA | MID | ₹1,414 | ₹1,325 | +6.3% | ₹1,234 | ₹1,472 |
| TMPV | MID | ₹381.9 | ₹355.9 | +6.8% | ₹335.6 | ₹374.7 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | MID | ₹10,550 | ₹9,787 | +7.2% | ₹8,957 | ₹9,925 |
| TATASTEEL | MID | ₹210.8 | ₹194.9 | +7.5% | ₹179.8 | ₹211.7 |
| NESTLEIND | Q5 | ₹1,419 | ₹1,306 | +7.9% | ₹1,198 | ₹1,325 |
| ASIANPAINT | MID | ₹2,660 | ₹2,430 | +8.6% | ₹2,343 | ₹2,845 |
| COALINDIA | MID | ₹473.4 | ₹431.0 | +8.9% | ₹415.3 | ₹463.4 |
| GRASIM | Q5 | ₹3,178 | ₹2,747 | +13.6% | ₹2,708 | ₹2,940 |
| APOLLOHOSP | Q5 | ₹8,348 | ₹7,081 | +15.2% | ₹7,004 | ₹7,758 |
| HINDALCO | Q5 | ₹1,108 | ₹933.9 | +15.7% | ₹815.1 | ₹990.1 |
| ADANIPORTS | Q5 | ₹1,817 | ₹1,510 | +16.9% | ₹1,346 | ₹1,572 |
| ADANIENT | Q5 | ₹2,941 | ₹2,232 | +24.1% | ₹1,937 | ₹2,328 |
How to read this
A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.
POC — Point of Control
The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.
Value Area (VAL–VAH)
The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.
Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals
Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.
Q1·DEEP edge
From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.
Q1 edge
Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.
What this is not
This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.
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