Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -7.7% from its 6-month POC.

14 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 5 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 26 May 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 26 May 2026, 13:42 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

24,073.5

last close

6-month POC

25,937.4

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

-7.7%

deeply oversold

Oversold names

14 / 50

5 deeply oversold

📊 Today's read

Nifty 50 is sitting ~7.7% below its 6-month POC — a Q1_DEEP reading for the index itself — with 14 of 50 constituents trading below value and 5 of those deeply oversold. The deepest pocket by far is large-cap IT (HCLTECH, TCS, INFY all 35-43% below their POCs) after a broad sector de-rate. Today's tape opened weak on fresh US-Iran tensions (energy higher) but domestic flows defended the level. Two macro markers sit inside the typical mean-reversion window: the RBI policy decision on Jun 3-5 (repo likely held at 5.25%) and elevated crude. Structurally this is a broad-oversold backdrop — historically a mean-reversion setup at this depth, not a directional call.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 26 May 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,168	₹1,665	-42.5%	+42.5%	1,367.3 – 1,780.1	73%	+10.0%	MED
2	TCS	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹2,293	₹3,220	-40.4%	+40.4%	2,478.6 – 3,350.0	—	—	HIGH
3	INFY	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,178	₹1,595	-35.4%	+35.4%	1,283.3 – 1,728.0	—	—	HIGH
4	HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	LOW	₹789.3	₹925.6	-17.3%	+17.3%	763.9 – 966.3	66%	+4.2%	HIGH
5	M&M	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹3,120	₹3,630	-16.4%	+16.4%	3,169.7 – 3,807.8	—	—	LOW
6	HDFCLIFE	Q1	MODERATE	₹618.5	₹756.1	-22.2%	+22.2%	618.4 – 787.8	67%	+10.2%	MED
7	BAJAJFINSV	Q1	—	₹1,810	₹2,047	-13.1%	+13.1%	1,782.5 – 2,109.7	71%	+13.2%	MED
8	INDIGO	Q1	—	₹4,482	₹4,948	-10.4%	+10.4%	4,262.6 – 5,063.3	—	—	LOW
9	SBIN	Q1	—	₹977.0	₹1,068	-9.3%	+9.3%	970.6 – 1,115.0	—	—	HIGH
10	MAXHEALTH	Q1	—	₹990.5	₹1,077	-8.7%	+8.7%	994.9 – 1,099.2	—	—	LOW
11	KOTAKBANK	Q1	—	₹391.6	₹425.2	-8.6%	+8.6%	379.5 – 445.6	—	—	HIGH
12	SBILIFE	Q1	—	₹1,896	₹2,016	-6.4%	+6.4%	1,893.7 – 2,105.3	—	—	MED
13	ICICIBANK	Q1	—	₹1,296	₹1,365	-5.3%	+5.3%	1,279.9 – 1,429.5	68%	+6.2%	HIGH
14	BEL	Q1	—	₹421.1	₹438.7	-4.2%	+4.2%	412.6 – 454.7	—	—	LOW

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

HCLTECHSTRONG

Structure: Deepest dislocation on the board at -42.5% from its 6M POC; the POC itself is flat, so the reversion target isn't drifting away.

News: Down ~18% on the month with the sector-wide IT de-rate — no company-specific bad news; next earnings Jul 20 (no near-term event risk).

Key risk: A further sector-wide FY27 guidance cut could deepen the dip before it reverts.

TCSSTRONG

Structure: -40.4% below POC, and the 6M POC is rising (+0.25%/20d) — the reversion target is migrating up toward price, which is supportive.

News: Ex-dividend (Rs 31) already passed on May 25; signed a global retail-AI partnership with Rezolve. FY26 revenue +4.6%.

Key risk: USD/INR swings or another leg of the IT de-rate.

INFYSTRONG

Structure: -35.4% below POC with the POC trending up (+0.19%/20d).

News: Rs 25 dividend with an ex-date around Jun 10 (~2.1% of price) — expect a mechanical gap on ex-date that is already in option premiums. Q4 already reported.

Key risk: The ex-dividend gap can look bearish but is mechanical; watch broad IT sentiment.

M&MSTRONG

Structure: -16.4% below POC despite a blockbuster FY26 — an oversold reading on a fundamentally strong name is the classic mean-reversion profile.

News: FY26 PAT +35% (Q4 +42%), revenue +25%, dividend raised 30% to Rs 33, ROE ~20%. Clean strong results already passed.

Key risk: Auto demand is cyclical; option liquidity here is on the lower side.

HDFCBANKLOW

Structure: -17.3% below POC, but the 6M POC is migrating DOWN hard (-7.0%/20d) — the reversion target is falling toward price, which weakens the signal's reliability.

News: Rs 13 final dividend, record date Jun 19 (~1.65% of price) — a small, mostly priced-in event.

Key risk: If the POC keeps sliding, the mean-reversion target erodes; treat the depth with caution.

HDFCLIFEMODERATE

Structure: Deepest of the non-deep tier at -22.3% below POC.

News: April FY27 new-business premium +30%; FY26 margins pressured by GST/regulatory changes.

Key risk: Insurance regulatory/margin overhang; shallower-tier statistics than the Q1_DEEP names.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
Macro	RBI MPC policy decision	Jun 3-5	Policy	MEDIUM	Repo likely held at 5.25%; moves Nifty, banks and IT.
Macro	US-Iran tensions / crude	Ongoing	Geopolitical	MEDIUM	Risk-off plus higher energy prices weigh on the index.
INFY	Dividend Rs 25 (ex ~Jun 10)	~Jun 10	Dividend	SMALL	~2.1% of price; mechanical gap on ex-date, already in option premiums.
HDFCBANK	Final dividend Rs 13 (record)	Jun 19	Dividend	SMALL	~1.65% of price; minor, mostly priced in.
M&M	Dividend Rs 33 (FY26)	~Jun-Jul	Dividend	SMALL	~1% of price; record date around the AGM cycle.
HCLTECH	Q1 FY27 earnings	Jul 20	Earnings	MEDIUM	Beyond the near-term window; no immediate IV-crush risk.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,168	₹1,665	-42.5%	₹1,367	₹1,780
TCS	Q1 · DEEP	₹2,293	₹3,220	-40.4%	₹2,479	₹3,350
INFY	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,178	₹1,595	-35.4%	₹1,283	₹1,728
HDFCLIFE	Q1	₹618.5	₹756.1	-22.2%	₹618.4	₹787.8
HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹789.3	₹925.6	-17.3%	₹763.9	₹966.3
M&M	Q1 · DEEP	₹3,120	₹3,630	-16.4%	₹3,170	₹3,808
BAJAJFINSV	Q1	₹1,810	₹2,047	-13.1%	₹1,782	₹2,110
ETERNAL	MID	₹252.5	₹284.9	-12.8%	₹246.4	₹305.6
INDIGO	Q1	₹4,482	₹4,948	-10.4%	₹4,263	₹5,063
SBIN	Q1	₹977.0	₹1,068	-9.3%	₹970.6	₹1,115
MAXHEALTH	Q1	₹990.5	₹1,077	-8.7%	₹994.9	₹1,099
KOTAKBANK	Q1	₹391.6	₹425.2	-8.6%	₹379.5	₹445.6
SBILIFE	Q1	₹1,896	₹2,016	-6.4%	₹1,894	₹2,105
ICICIBANK	Q1	₹1,296	₹1,365	-5.3%	₹1,280	₹1,430
HINDUNILVR	MID	₹2,216	₹2,308	-4.2%	₹2,219	₹2,435
BEL	Q1	₹421.1	₹438.7	-4.2%	₹412.6	₹454.7
SHRIRAMFIN	MID	₹960.4	₹1,000	-4.1%	₹940.8	₹1,080
RELIANCE	MID	₹1,364	₹1,399	-2.6%	₹1,331	₹1,461
POWERGRID	MID	₹295.2	₹300.2	-1.7%	₹271.7	₹323.9
TECHM	MID	₹1,442	₹1,459	-1.2%	₹1,318	₹1,587
LT	MID	₹4,025	₹4,060	-0.9%	₹3,811	₹4,189
JIOFIN	MID	₹241.1	₹242.2	-0.5%	₹225.9	₹271.2
ITC	MID	₹303.1	₹304.1	-0.3%	₹295.0	₹333.3
ONGC	MID	₹286.9	₹285.1	+0.6%	₹258.9	₹303.0
ULTRACEMCO	MID	₹11,673	₹11,595	+0.7%	₹11,316	₹12,720
TATACONSUM	MID	₹1,188	₹1,177	+0.9%	₹1,097	₹1,201
TITAN	MID	₹4,155	₹4,086	+1.7%	₹3,888	₹4,301
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,295	₹1,273	+1.7%	₹1,159	₹1,293
MARUTI	MID	₹13,240	₹13,018	+1.7%	₹12,253	₹15,375
BHARTIARTL	MID	₹1,865	₹1,833	+1.7%	₹1,757	₹2,017
WIPRO	MID	₹207.6	₹203.4	+2.0%	₹186.5	₹243.3
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,308	₹1,271	+2.9%	₹1,219	₹1,351
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹945.6	₹916.3	+3.1%	₹893.3	₹1,016
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,387	₹7,125	+3.5%	₹6,846	₹7,418
TRENT	MID	₹4,282	₹4,090	+4.5%	₹3,811	₹4,329
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,337	₹1,271	+4.9%	₹1,239	₹1,335
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,820	₹1,720	+5.5%	₹1,686	₹1,842
NTPC	MID	₹390.0	₹367.6	+5.8%	₹350.5	₹407.9
CIPLA	MID	₹1,414	₹1,325	+6.3%	₹1,234	₹1,472
TMPV	MID	₹381.9	₹355.9	+6.8%	₹335.6	₹374.7
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹10,550	₹9,787	+7.2%	₹8,957	₹9,925
TATASTEEL	MID	₹210.8	₹194.9	+7.5%	₹179.8	₹211.7
NESTLEIND	Q5	₹1,419	₹1,306	+7.9%	₹1,198	₹1,325
ASIANPAINT	MID	₹2,660	₹2,430	+8.6%	₹2,343	₹2,845
COALINDIA	MID	₹473.4	₹431.0	+8.9%	₹415.3	₹463.4
GRASIM	Q5	₹3,178	₹2,747	+13.6%	₹2,708	₹2,940
APOLLOHOSP	Q5	₹8,348	₹7,081	+15.2%	₹7,004	₹7,758
HINDALCO	Q5	₹1,108	₹933.9	+15.7%	₹815.1	₹990.1
ADANIPORTS	Q5	₹1,817	₹1,510	+16.9%	₹1,346	₹1,572
ADANIENT	Q5	₹2,941	₹2,232	+24.1%	₹1,937	₹2,328

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 26 May 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.