Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -8.4% from its 6-month POC.

13 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 4 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 26 May 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 26 May 2026, 16:24 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,933.8

last close

6-month POC

25,937.4

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

-8.4%

deeply oversold

Oversold names

13 / 50

4 deeply oversold

📊 Today's read

Nifty 50 closed at 23,934, about 8.4% below its 6-month POC of 25,937 — a Q1_DEEP oversold reading for the index — with the 20-day POC trend flat, so the mean-reversion target isn't drifting. 14 of the universe are oversold, 5 of them deeply, and the deepest pocket by far remains large-cap IT after a broad sector de-rate. The macro backdrop favours a reversion read over a breakdown: RBI is holding the repo at 5.25% with a neutral stance, CPI is projected near 4% for June, and FY27 GDP growth is pegged around 6.9%. The next RBI policy decision (early June) sits inside the typical hold window.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 26 May 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,163	₹1,665	-43.2%	+43.2%	1,364.6 – 1,780.1	67%	+7.9%	MED
2	TCS	Q1 · DEEP	MODERATE	₹2,281	₹3,220	-41.1%	+41.1%	2,478.6 – 3,350.0	54%	+1.7%	HIGH
3	HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	BROKEN	₹780.2	₹925.6	-18.6%	+18.6%	765.0 – 966.3	66%	+4.7%	HIGH
4	M&M	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹3,111	₹3,630	-16.7%	+16.7%	3,169.7 – 3,807.8	61%	+8.8%	LOW
5	HDFCLIFE	Q1	—	₹619.9	₹756.1	-22.0%	+22.0%	618.4 – 787.8	50%	+4.0%	MED
6	BAJAJFINSV	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,807	₹2,047	-13.3%	+13.3%	1,782.5 – 2,109.7	72%	+13.6%	MED
7	INDIGO	Q1	—	₹4,483	₹4,948	-10.4%	+10.4%	4,262.6 – 5,063.3	50%	+3.2%	LOW
8	SBIN	Q1	MODERATE	₹969.8	₹1,068	-10.1%	+10.1%	970.6 – 1,115.0	83%	+9.1%	HIGH
9	KOTAKBANK	Q1	—	₹389.5	₹425.2	-9.2%	+9.2%	379.5 – 445.6	76%	+7.0%	HIGH
10	MAXHEALTH	Q1	—	₹991.1	₹1,077	-8.6%	+8.6%	994.9 – 1,099.2	70%	+8.2%	LOW
11	SBILIFE	Q1	—	₹1,885	₹2,016	-7.0%	+7.0%	1,893.7 – 2,105.3	74%	+7.4%	MED
12	ICICIBANK	Q1	—	₹1,281	₹1,365	-6.6%	+6.6%	1,279.9 – 1,429.5	70%	+6.7%	HIGH
13	BEL	Q1	—	₹420.6	₹438.7	-4.3%	+4.3%	412.6 – 454.7	51%	+2.1%	LOW

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

HCLTECHSTRONG

Structure: Deepest dislocation on the board at -43% from its 6M POC; the POC itself is flat, so the reversion target isn't drifting away. Backtest hit rate ~67% over 60 days.

News: Down ~17.6% on the month with the sector-wide IT de-rate — no company-specific bad news; next earnings Jul 20 sits after the June options window.

Key risk: A further sector-wide FY27 guidance cut could deepen the dip before it reverts.

TCSMODERATE

Structure: Very deep at -41% from POC, but per-name historical reliability is weaker here (hit rate ~54%). Now trading ex-dividend (record date May 25 passed).

News: FY26 final dividend of Rs 31/share already gone ex; AGM June 9. Next earnings mid-July, outside the June window.

Key risk: USD/INR swings or another leg of the IT de-rate.

HDFCBANKBROKEN

Structure: -19% from POC, but the 6M POC has fallen ~7% over the last 20 days — the reversion target is migrating down toward price, which weakens the signal's reliability. This is a signal-quality flag, not a company-fundamentals call.

News: Fundamentals are fine (advances +12% YoY); small Rs 13 dividend (~1.7%) due mid-June.

Key risk: If the POC keeps sliding, the mean-reversion upside compresses — treat the depth with caution.

M&MSTRONG

Structure: -17% below POC despite a blockbuster FY26 — an oversold reading on a fundamentally strong name is the classic mean-reversion profile. Backtest fwd60 ~+8.8%.

News: Q4 FY26 already reported May 5 — standalone profit +53%, revenue +26%, full-year consolidated PAT +35%. Final dividend raised to Rs 33.

Key risk: Auto demand is cyclical; option liquidity here is on the lower side.

BAJAJFINSVMODERATE

Structure: -13% below POC with the best forward-return profile in the non-deep tier (backtest fwd60 ~+13.6%, hit rate ~72%) and a clean FY26 (profit +10.5%).

News: Small Rs 1.50 dividend (incl Rs 0.20 special for the Bajaj centenary), record date June 30; AGM July 31.

Key risk: NBFC/credit-cycle sentiment.

SBINMODERATE

Structure: -10% below POC with the strongest historical hit rate in today's set (~83%) and a 6M POC that is rising ~9.6% over 20 days — the target is migrating up, reinforcing the bounce read.

Key risk: Rate-sensitivity around the early-June RBI policy.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
NIFTY	RBI MPC policy decision	Jun 3-5	Macro	MEDIUM	Repo likely held at 5.25%; neutral-to-supportive given benign CPI. Moves Nifty, banks and IT.
TCS	Final dividend Rs 31 (~1.4%)	Record May 25 (passed), pay Jun 12	Dividend	SMALL	Already ex-dividend; AGM June 9 is low-impact.
HDFCBANK	Final dividend Rs 13 (~1.7%)	~Jun 19	Dividend	SMALL	Minor; mostly priced into option premiums.
M&M	Final dividend Rs 33 (~1.1%)	Record around AGM cycle	Dividend	SMALL	Small price adjustment on the ex-date.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,163	₹1,665	-43.2%	₹1,365	₹1,780
TCS	Q1 · DEEP	₹2,281	₹3,220	-41.1%	₹2,479	₹3,350
HDFCLIFE	Q1	₹619.9	₹756.1	-22.0%	₹618.4	₹787.8
HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹780.2	₹925.6	-18.6%	₹765.0	₹966.3
M&M	Q1 · DEEP	₹3,111	₹3,630	-16.7%	₹3,170	₹3,808
ETERNAL	MID	₹251.0	₹284.9	-13.5%	₹246.4	₹305.6
BAJAJFINSV	Q1	₹1,807	₹2,047	-13.3%	₹1,782	₹2,110
INDIGO	Q1	₹4,483	₹4,948	-10.4%	₹4,263	₹5,063
SBIN	Q1	₹969.8	₹1,068	-10.1%	₹970.6	₹1,115
KOTAKBANK	Q1	₹389.5	₹425.2	-9.2%	₹379.5	₹445.6
MAXHEALTH	Q1	₹991.1	₹1,077	-8.6%	₹994.9	₹1,099
SBILIFE	Q1	₹1,885	₹2,016	-7.0%	₹1,894	₹2,105
ICICIBANK	Q1	₹1,281	₹1,365	-6.6%	₹1,280	₹1,430
SHRIRAMFIN	MID	₹952.9	₹1,000	-5.0%	₹940.8	₹1,080
HINDUNILVR	MID	₹2,204	₹2,308	-4.7%	₹2,215	₹2,433
BEL	Q1	₹420.6	₹438.7	-4.3%	₹412.6	₹454.7
RELIANCE	MID	₹1,357	₹1,399	-3.1%	₹1,331	₹1,461
POWERGRID	MID	₹292.8	₹300.2	-2.5%	₹272.3	₹323.9
INFY	MID	₹1,166	₹1,175	-0.7%	₹1,089	₹1,596
ITC	MID	₹301.9	₹304.1	-0.7%	₹295.0	₹333.3
LT	MID	₹4,037	₹4,060	-0.6%	₹3,816	₹4,189
JIOFIN	MID	₹241.0	₹242.2	-0.5%	₹225.9	₹270.9
WIPRO	MID	₹203.4	₹203.4	+0.0%	₹186.5	₹243.0
TECHM	MID	₹1,460	₹1,459	+0.1%	₹1,318	₹1,587
ULTRACEMCO	MID	₹11,647	₹11,601	+0.4%	₹11,322	₹12,726
TITAN	MID	₹4,115	₹4,086	+0.7%	₹3,888	₹4,301
BHARTIARTL	MID	₹1,847	₹1,833	+0.8%	₹1,757	₹2,016
ONGC	MID	₹287.4	₹285.1	+0.8%	₹258.9	₹302.6
TATACONSUM	MID	₹1,190	₹1,177	+1.1%	₹1,098	₹1,201
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,294	₹1,273	+1.6%	₹1,159	₹1,294
MARUTI	MID	₹13,238	₹13,018	+1.7%	₹12,253	₹15,375
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹932.0	₹916.3	+1.7%	₹893.3	₹1,016
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,302	₹1,271	+2.4%	₹1,219	₹1,351
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,356	₹7,125	+3.1%	₹6,853	₹7,418
TRENT	MID	₹4,238	₹4,090	+3.5%	₹3,811	₹4,329
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,330	₹1,271	+4.4%	₹1,240	₹1,336
COALINDIA	MID	₹455.9	₹431.0	+5.5%	₹415.3	₹463.9
NTPC	MID	₹390.0	₹367.6	+5.8%	₹350.5	₹407.9
CIPLA	MID	₹1,419	₹1,325	+6.6%	₹1,234	₹1,472
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,842	₹1,720	+6.7%	₹1,688	₹1,842
TATASTEEL	MID	₹210.4	₹194.9	+7.4%	₹179.8	₹211.7
TMPV	MID	₹385.6	₹355.9	+7.7%	₹335.6	₹375.1
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹10,603	₹9,787	+7.7%	₹8,957	₹9,925
ASIANPAINT	MID	₹2,644	₹2,430	+8.1%	₹2,343	₹2,841
NESTLEIND	Q5	₹1,432	₹1,306	+8.8%	₹1,195	₹1,325
GRASIM	Q5	₹3,165	₹2,747	+13.2%	₹2,711	₹2,941
APOLLOHOSP	Q5	₹8,270	₹7,081	+14.4%	₹7,004	₹7,758
HINDALCO	Q5	₹1,107	₹933.9	+15.6%	₹813.9	₹990.1
ADANIPORTS	Q5	₹1,810	₹1,510	+16.6%	₹1,344	₹1,572
ADANIENT	Q5	₹2,973	₹2,231	+24.9%	₹1,932	₹2,324

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 26 May 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.