Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -8.4% from its 6-month POC.

15 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 4 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 27 May 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 27 May 2026, 10:57 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,938.2

last close

6-month POC

25,937.4

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

-8.4%

deeply oversold

Oversold names

15 / 50

4 deeply oversold

📊 Today's read

Nifty sits ~8.4% below its 6-month POC (25,937) — a Q1_DEEP mean-reversion zone for the index — with the 20-day POC flat, so the target is stable rather than drifting away. Breadth stays broadly oversold: 15 of 49 Nifty names are in Q1/Q1_DEEP, four of them deeply, and the deepest pocket remains large-cap IT after a broad sector de-rate. Today's tape leaned defensive-value (metal +0.8%, pharma +0.6%) rather than broad risk-on. The one calendar event in the window is the RBI MPC on Jun 3-5 (decision Jun 5), where a pause at 5.25% is widely expected amid rupee and oil pressure.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 27 May 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,164	₹1,665	-43.1%	+43.1%	1,364.6 – 1,780.1	67%	+7.9%	MED
2	TCS	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹2,272	₹3,220	-41.7%	+41.7%	2,474.0 – 3,350.0	54%	+1.7%	HIGH
3	HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	MODERATE	₹764.2	₹925.6	-21.1%	+21.1%	765.0 – 966.3	66%	+4.7%	HIGH
4	M&M	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹3,118	₹3,630	-16.4%	+16.4%	3,166.0 – 3,807.8	61%	+8.8%	LOW
5	HDFCLIFE	Q1	—	₹614.5	₹756.3	-23.1%	+23.1%	618.2 – 782.2	50%	+4.0%	MED
6	BAJAJFINSV	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,801	₹2,046	-13.6%	+13.6%	1,781.7 – 2,105.8	72%	+13.6%	MED
7	INDIGO	Q1	—	₹4,464	₹4,936	-10.6%	+10.6%	4,266.7 – 5,066.9	50%	+3.2%	LOW
8	SBIN	Q1	MODERATE	₹972.0	₹1,068	-9.9%	+9.9%	969.4 – 1,115.0	83%	+9.1%	HIGH
9	MAXHEALTH	Q1	—	₹984.9	₹1,077	-9.4%	+9.4%	994.9 – 1,099.5	70%	+8.2%	LOW
10	KOTAKBANK	Q1	—	₹389.2	₹425.2	-9.2%	+9.2%	379.5 – 445.6	76%	+7.0%	HIGH
11	SBILIFE	Q1	—	₹1,881	₹2,016	-7.2%	+7.2%	1,892.1 – 2,105.3	74%	+7.4%	MED
12	ICICIBANK	Q1	—	₹1,290	₹1,365	-5.8%	+5.8%	1,279.9 – 1,429.5	70%	+6.7%	HIGH
13	BEL	Q1	—	₹418.5	₹438.7	-4.8%	+4.8%	412.6 – 454.7	51%	+2.1%	LOW
14	ITC	Q1	BROKEN	₹293.6	₹304.1	-3.6%	+3.6%	294.1 – 332.0	62%	+3.0%	HIGH
15	ONGC	Q1	—	₹276.8	₹285.1	-3.0%	+3.0%	258.9 – 301.9	59%	+3.6%	MED

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

HCLTECHSTRONG

Structure: Deepest dislocation on the board at -43% from its 6M POC, with the POC itself flat so the reversion target isn't drifting. Backtest hit rate ~67% over 60 days.

News: Down ~17.6% on the month with the sector-wide IT de-rate — no company-specific bad news; FY26 revenue +11.2%, next earnings sits after the June options window.

Key risk: A further sector-wide FY27 guidance cut could deepen the dip before it reverts; verify the interim-dividend ex-date.

TCSSTRONG

Structure: Very deep at -42% from POC — one of the deepest IT dislocations in 5y of data — though per-name historical reliability is softer here (hit ~54%). Now trading ex-dividend (record date May 25 passed).

News: Down ~29% YTD; Rezolve AI and Google Cloud partnerships ramping; Moderate Buy consensus with ~20% upside target.

Key risk: USD/INR swings or another leg of the IT de-rate; the soft per-name hit-rate is the honest caveat.

M&MSTRONG

Structure: -16% below POC despite a blockbuster FY26 — an oversold reading on a fundamentally strong name is the classic mean-reversion profile. Backtest fwd60 ~+8.8%.

News: Q4 FY26 net profit up sharply YoY; no negative flow.

Key risk: Auto demand is cyclical; option liquidity here is on the lower side.

HDFCBANKMODERATE

Structure: -21% from POC (deepest large-bank dislocation), but the 6M POC has slid ~7% over the last 20 days — the reversion target is migrating toward price, which caps conviction below the deep-IT names. A signal-quality flag, not a fundamentals call.

News: Advances growth steady; small Rs 13 dividend (~1.7%) ex around Jun 19.

Key risk: If the POC keeps sliding the upside compresses; bank-sector sensitivity to the RBI decision.

SBINMODERATE

Structure: -10% below POC with the strongest historical hit rate in today's set (~83%) and a 6M POC rising ~9.6% over 20 days — the target is migrating up, reinforcing the bounce read.

News: Ex-dividend already passed (May 15); broad analyst Strong Buy with ~27% upside target.

Key risk: Rate-sensitivity around the early-June RBI policy.

BAJAJFINSVMODERATE

Structure: -14% below POC with the best forward-return profile in the non-deep tier (backtest fwd60 ~+13.6%, hit ~72%) and a clean FY26 (profit +10%).

News: AGM July 31 sits after the near-month options window.

Key risk: NBFC/credit-cycle sentiment and rate path.

ITCBROKEN

Structure: Reads only ~4% below POC, but the 20d POC is collapsing (~-23%) and the final-dividend record date is today — the oversold reading is a corporate-action/drift artifact, not a clean dislocation.

Key risk: Treat the signal as unreliable until the POC re-bases after the dividend.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
NIFTY	RBI MPC policy decision (pause expected at 5.25%)	Jun 3-5	Macro	MEDIUM	Banks and index most sensitive; largely priced, with rupee and oil the swing factors.
HDFCBANK	Dividend ~Rs 13 (~1.7%)	~Jun 19 (ex)	Dividend	SMALL	Minor on option pricing; mostly already in premiums.
HCLTECH	Interim dividend ~Rs 24 (verify ex-date)	TBD	Dividend	SMALL	~2% of price; confirm ex-date before assuming an event-clean window.
ITC	Final dividend Rs 8 record date	May 27 (today)	Dividend	SMALL	Going ex today; part of why the POC reading is distorted.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,164	₹1,665	-43.1%	₹1,365	₹1,780
TCS	Q1 · DEEP	₹2,272	₹3,220	-41.7%	₹2,474	₹3,350
HDFCLIFE	Q1	₹614.5	₹756.3	-23.1%	₹618.2	₹782.2
HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹764.2	₹925.6	-21.1%	₹765.0	₹966.3
M&M	Q1 · DEEP	₹3,118	₹3,630	-16.4%	₹3,166	₹3,808
BAJAJFINSV	Q1	₹1,801	₹2,046	-13.6%	₹1,782	₹2,106
ETERNAL	MID	₹253.9	₹284.9	-12.2%	₹246.6	₹305.7
INDIGO	Q1	₹4,464	₹4,936	-10.6%	₹4,267	₹5,067
SBIN	Q1	₹972.0	₹1,068	-9.9%	₹969.4	₹1,115
MAXHEALTH	Q1	₹984.9	₹1,077	-9.4%	₹994.9	₹1,100
KOTAKBANK	Q1	₹389.2	₹425.2	-9.2%	₹379.5	₹445.6
SBILIFE	Q1	₹1,881	₹2,016	-7.2%	₹1,892	₹2,105
ICICIBANK	Q1	₹1,290	₹1,365	-5.8%	₹1,280	₹1,430
HINDUNILVR	MID	₹2,200	₹2,308	-4.9%	₹2,217	₹2,433
BEL	Q1	₹418.5	₹438.7	-4.8%	₹412.6	₹454.7
SHRIRAMFIN	MID	₹954.4	₹1,000	-4.8%	₹942.0	₹1,080
ITC	Q1	₹293.6	₹304.1	-3.6%	₹294.1	₹332.0
RELIANCE	MID	₹1,357	₹1,399	-3.1%	₹1,331	₹1,460
ONGC	Q1	₹276.8	₹285.1	-3.0%	₹258.9	₹301.9
INFY	MID	₹1,160	₹1,175	-1.2%	₹1,089	₹1,596
POWERGRID	MID	₹298.4	₹300.2	-0.6%	₹272.0	₹324.8
JIOFIN	MID	₹241.7	₹242.7	-0.4%	₹226.0	₹270.5
LT	MID	₹4,064	₹4,060	+0.1%	₹3,811	₹4,189
ULTRACEMCO	MID	₹11,663	₹11,601	+0.5%	₹11,322	₹12,726
WIPRO	MID	₹204.9	₹203.4	+0.7%	₹186.5	₹243.0
TECHM	MID	₹1,472	₹1,459	+0.9%	₹1,318	₹1,587
TITAN	MID	₹4,128	₹4,086	+1.0%	₹3,888	₹4,301
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹927.0	₹916.3	+1.2%	₹893.3	₹1,015
MARUTI	MID	₹13,174	₹13,018	+1.2%	₹12,253	₹15,333
BHARTIARTL	MID	₹1,858	₹1,833	+1.4%	₹1,757	₹2,016
TATACONSUM	MID	₹1,198	₹1,177	+1.7%	₹1,097	₹1,201
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,335	₹7,125	+2.9%	₹6,846	₹7,418
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,311	₹1,271	+3.0%	₹1,221	₹1,351
TRENT	MID	₹4,232	₹4,090	+3.4%	₹3,811	₹4,329
COALINDIA	MID	₹446.2	₹431.0	+3.4%	₹415.3	₹463.4
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,321	₹1,272	+3.7%	₹1,160	₹1,296
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,331	₹1,271	+4.5%	₹1,240	₹1,336
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,834	₹1,720	+6.3%	₹1,688	₹1,843
CIPLA	MID	₹1,422	₹1,325	+6.8%	₹1,235	₹1,472
NTPC	MID	₹394.8	₹367.6	+6.9%	₹350.9	₹407.9
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹10,715	₹9,787	+8.7%	₹8,948	₹9,925
ASIANPAINT	MID	₹2,669	₹2,430	+8.9%	₹2,343	₹2,838
TMPV	MID	₹391.0	₹355.9	+9.0%	₹335.2	₹375.5
NESTLEIND	Q5	₹1,442	₹1,306	+9.4%	₹1,193	₹1,325
TATASTEEL	MID	₹217.7	₹194.9	+10.4%	₹179.8	₹211.7
GRASIM	Q5	₹3,166	₹2,747	+13.2%	₹2,711	₹2,945
APOLLOHOSP	Q5	₹8,175	₹7,081	+13.4%	₹7,004	₹7,765
ADANIPORTS	Q5	₹1,835	₹1,510	+17.7%	₹1,344	₹1,574
HINDALCO	Q5	₹1,149	₹933.0	+18.8%	₹813.0	₹989.5
ADANIENT	Q5	₹3,011	₹2,230	+26.0%	₹1,929	₹2,337

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 27 May 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.