Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -8.4% from its 6-month POC.

15 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 6 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 27 May 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 27 May 2026, 16:28 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,920.7

last close

6-month POC

25,937.4

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

-8.4%

deeply oversold

Oversold names

15 / 50

6 deeply oversold

📊 Today's read

Nifty sits at 23,921 — about -8.4% below its 6-month POC of 25,937, deep in the Q1_DEEP oversold zone, with the mean-reversion target stable (flat 20-day POC trend). Breadth is broad-oversold: 20 of 49 names below their value zone. The deepest clean pockets are IT (HCLTECH, TCS) and autos (M&M); some deep names look unreliable because their POC is itself sliding down. The one calendar event overhanging the window is the RBI MPC decision on June 5 (repo 5.25%, a pause widely expected) — most likely to move financials and the index.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 27 May 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,167	₹1,665	-42.7%	+42.7%	1,364.6 – 1,780.1	67%	+7.9%	MED
2	TCS	Q1 · DEEP	MODERATE	₹2,290	₹3,220	-40.6%	+40.6%	2,474.0 – 3,350.0	54%	+1.7%	HIGH
3	HDFCLIFE	Q1 · DEEP	LOW	₹610.5	₹756.3	-23.9%	+23.9%	618.2 – 782.2	50%	+4.0%	MED
4	HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	BROKEN	₹759.2	₹925.6	-21.9%	+21.9%	765.0 – 966.3	66%	+4.7%	HIGH
5	M&M	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹3,128	₹3,630	-16.1%	+16.1%	3,166.0 – 3,807.8	61%	+8.8%	LOW
6	ICICIBANK	Q1 · DEEP	MODERATE	₹1,272	₹1,365	-7.3%	+7.3%	1,278.8 – 1,429.5	70%	+6.7%	HIGH
7	BAJAJFINSV	Q1	—	₹1,812	₹2,046	-12.9%	+12.9%	1,781.7 – 2,105.8	72%	+13.6%	MED
8	SBIN	Q1	MODERATE	₹967.3	₹1,068	-10.4%	+10.4%	969.4 – 1,115.0	83%	+9.1%	HIGH
9	KOTAKBANK	Q1	—	₹389.4	₹425.2	-9.2%	+9.2%	379.5 – 445.6	76%	+7.0%	HIGH
10	INDIGO	Q1	—	₹4,551	₹4,936	-8.5%	+8.5%	4,266.7 – 5,066.9	50%	+3.2%	LOW
11	MAXHEALTH	Q1	—	₹995.0	₹1,077	-8.2%	+8.2%	994.9 – 1,099.5	70%	+8.2%	LOW
12	SBILIFE	Q1	—	₹1,865	₹2,016	-8.1%	+8.1%	1,890.5 – 2,105.3	74%	+7.4%	MED
13	BEL	Q1	—	₹419.9	₹438.7	-4.5%	+4.5%	412.6 – 454.7	51%	+2.1%	LOW
14	ONGC	Q1	—	₹273.3	₹285.1	-4.3%	+4.3%	258.9 – 301.6	59%	+3.6%	MED
15	ITC	Q1	—	₹292.2	₹304.1	-4.1%	+4.1%	294.1 – 332.0	62%	+3.0%	HIGH

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

HCLTECHSTRONG

Structure: Deepest dislocation in the universe at -43% from 6M POC; flat POC trend means the target isn't drifting away. Hist hit rate ~67% at this depth.

News: Expanded Pegasystems AI partnership (May 25); FY26 revenue $14.7B. No negatives.

Key risk: Sector-wide IT derate if FY27 guidance fears resurface.

TCSMODERATE

Structure: Very deep at -41% from POC, but historical reliability at this depth for TCS specifically is weak (~54% hit / +2% fwd60d) — depth alone doesn't guarantee the snapback.

News: Went ex-dividend (₹31) on May 25; AGM June 9. Mostly priced.

Key risk: Soft FY27 IT-sector commentary could extend the derate.

HDFCLIFELOW

Structure: Deep at -24% but the historical hit rate is a coin-flip (~50%) and the POC is slowly migrating down — the snapback target is softening.

Key risk: Weak mean-reversion reliability; needs the POC to stabilise.

HDFCBANKBROKEN

Structure: Looks deep at -22% from POC, but the 6M POC is migrating down hard (~-7%/20d) — the mean-reversion target is collapsing toward price, so the depth is illusory and the signal is unreliable.

News: Ex-dividend ₹13 on June 19.

Key risk: Falling POC; not a clean reversion setup until it stabilises.

M&MSTRONG

Structure: -16% from POC with the best forward stats of the deep names (~+9% fwd60d), and a strong fundamental tailwind behind the dip.

News: Blockbuster FY26 results (May 5): PAT +35% YoY, revenue +25%, ₹33 dividend (+30%).

Key risk: ₹33 ex-dividend date unconfirmed — verify on NSE.

ICICIBANKMODERATE

Structure: Shallow Q1_DEEP (-7%, barely past threshold) but a solid ~70% historical hit rate; flat POC.

Key risk: Shallow depth — less margin than the deeper names.

SBINMODERATE

Structure: Q1 at -10% with the single highest historical hit rate in the basket (~83%) and a POC that's rising fast — a constructive mean-reversion backdrop.

News: Dividend ₹17.35 already went ex (mid-May); Q4 results out.

Key risk: RBI June 5 is a swing factor for PSU banks.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
MARKET	RBI MPC rate decision (repo 5.25%, pause expected)	Jun 5	Policy	MEDIUM	Volatility across financials and the index; the key in-window macro event.
TCS	Ex-dividend ₹31 + 31st AGM	May 25 / Jun 9	Dividend/AGM	SMALL	Dividend already priced; AGM watch for FY27 commentary.
HDFCBANK	Ex-dividend ₹13 (~1.7%)	Jun 19	Dividend	SMALL	Minor price/strike adjustment around the date.
M&M	Ex-dividend ₹33 (~1.05%)	TBD (verify NSE)	Dividend	SMALL	Strikes auto-adjust only if before June expiry.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,167	₹1,665	-42.7%	₹1,365	₹1,780
TCS	Q1 · DEEP	₹2,290	₹3,220	-40.6%	₹2,474	₹3,350
HDFCLIFE	Q1 · DEEP	₹610.5	₹756.3	-23.9%	₹618.2	₹782.2
HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹759.2	₹925.6	-21.9%	₹765.0	₹966.3
M&M	Q1 · DEEP	₹3,128	₹3,630	-16.1%	₹3,166	₹3,808
BAJAJFINSV	Q1	₹1,812	₹2,046	-12.9%	₹1,782	₹2,106
ETERNAL	MID	₹255.7	₹284.9	-11.4%	₹246.6	₹305.7
SBIN	Q1	₹967.3	₹1,068	-10.4%	₹969.4	₹1,115
KOTAKBANK	Q1	₹389.4	₹425.2	-9.2%	₹379.5	₹445.6
INDIGO	Q1	₹4,551	₹4,936	-8.5%	₹4,267	₹5,067
MAXHEALTH	Q1	₹995.0	₹1,077	-8.2%	₹994.9	₹1,100
SBILIFE	Q1	₹1,865	₹2,016	-8.1%	₹1,890	₹2,105
ICICIBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,272	₹1,365	-7.3%	₹1,279	₹1,430
HINDUNILVR	MID	₹2,202	₹2,308	-4.8%	₹2,215	₹2,433
BEL	Q1	₹419.9	₹438.7	-4.5%	₹412.6	₹454.7
ONGC	Q1	₹273.3	₹285.1	-4.3%	₹258.9	₹301.6
ITC	Q1	₹292.2	₹304.1	-4.1%	₹294.1	₹332.0
SHRIRAMFIN	MID	₹964.0	₹1,000	-3.7%	₹942.0	₹1,080
RELIANCE	MID	₹1,353	₹1,399	-3.5%	₹1,331	₹1,460
INFY	MID	₹1,162	₹1,175	-1.1%	₹1,089	₹1,596
WIPRO	MID	₹201.7	₹203.4	-0.8%	₹186.5	₹242.6
LT	MID	₹4,050	₹4,060	-0.2%	₹3,816	₹4,189
TECHM	MID	₹1,456	₹1,459	-0.2%	₹1,318	₹1,587
POWERGRID	MID	₹300.5	₹300.2	+0.1%	₹273.2	₹324.8
JIOFIN	MID	₹243.6	₹242.7	+0.4%	₹226.0	₹270.5
BHARTIARTL	MID	₹1,847	₹1,833	+0.8%	₹1,757	₹2,014
ULTRACEMCO	MID	₹11,713	₹11,601	+1.0%	₹11,322	₹12,726
TITAN	MID	₹4,155	₹4,086	+1.7%	₹3,888	₹4,301
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹935.0	₹916.3	+2.0%	₹893.3	₹1,015
TATACONSUM	MID	₹1,205	₹1,177	+2.3%	₹1,099	₹1,203
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,304	₹1,271	+2.6%	₹1,222	₹1,352
MARUTI	MID	₹13,395	₹13,018	+2.8%	₹12,253	₹15,333
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,310	₹1,272	+2.9%	₹1,160	₹1,296
TRENT	MID	₹4,243	₹4,090	+3.6%	₹3,811	₹4,329
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,320	₹1,271	+3.7%	₹1,240	₹1,336
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,426	₹7,125	+4.1%	₹6,853	₹7,425
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,840	₹1,720	+6.5%	₹1,689	₹1,845
CIPLA	MID	₹1,422	₹1,325	+6.8%	₹1,235	₹1,472
COALINDIA	MID	₹463.6	₹431.0	+7.0%	₹415.8	₹463.4
NTPC	MID	₹397.9	₹367.6	+7.6%	₹351.3	₹407.9
NESTLEIND	Q5	₹1,428	₹1,306	+8.5%	₹1,191	₹1,325
TATASTEEL	MID	₹214.5	₹194.9	+9.1%	₹179.8	₹211.9
ASIANPAINT	MID	₹2,675	₹2,430	+9.2%	₹2,343	₹2,838
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹10,801	₹9,786	+9.4%	₹8,947	₹9,928
TMPV	Q5	₹403.1	₹355.9	+11.7%	₹335.3	₹376.1
GRASIM	Q5	₹3,168	₹2,747	+13.3%	₹2,711	₹2,945
APOLLOHOSP	Q5	₹8,280	₹7,081	+14.5%	₹7,004	₹7,765
ADANIPORTS	Q5	₹1,823	₹1,510	+17.2%	₹1,340	₹1,574
HINDALCO	Q5	₹1,150	₹933.0	+18.9%	₹811.5	₹989.5
ADANIENT	Q5	₹2,973	₹2,230	+25.0%	₹1,903	₹2,337

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 27 May 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.