The index is -8.4% from its 6-month POC.
15 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 6 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.
Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP
Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.
| # | Stock | Signal | Setup | Spot | 6M POC | % from POC | Upside to POC | Value area (VAL–VAH) | Hist 60d hit | Hist 60d ret | Opt liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | HCLTECH | Q1 · DEEP | — | ₹1,167 | ₹1,665 | -42.7% | +42.7% | 1,364.6 – 1,780.1 | 67% | +7.9% | MED |
| 2 | TCS | Q1 · DEEP | — | ₹2,290 | ₹3,220 | -40.6% | +40.6% | 2,474.0 – 3,350.0 | 54% | +1.7% | HIGH |
| 3 | HDFCLIFE | Q1 · DEEP | — | ₹610.5 | ₹756.3 | -23.9% | +23.9% | 618.2 – 782.2 | 50% | +4.0% | MED |
| 4 | HDFCBANK | Q1 · DEEP | — | ₹759.2 | ₹925.6 | -21.9% | +21.9% | 765.0 – 966.3 | 66% | +4.7% | HIGH |
| 5 | M&M | Q1 · DEEP | — | ₹3,128 | ₹3,630 | -16.1% | +16.1% | 3,166.0 – 3,807.8 | 61% | +8.8% | LOW |
| 6 | ICICIBANK | Q1 · DEEP | — | ₹1,272 | ₹1,365 | -7.3% | +7.3% | 1,278.8 – 1,429.5 | 70% | +6.7% | HIGH |
| 7 | BAJAJFINSV | Q1 | — | ₹1,812 | ₹2,046 | -12.9% | +12.9% | 1,781.7 – 2,105.8 | 72% | +13.6% | MED |
| 8 | SBIN | Q1 | — | ₹967.3 | ₹1,068 | -10.4% | +10.4% | 969.4 – 1,115.0 | 83% | +9.1% | HIGH |
| 9 | KOTAKBANK | Q1 | — | ₹389.4 | ₹425.2 | -9.2% | +9.2% | 379.5 – 445.6 | 76% | +7.0% | HIGH |
| 10 | INDIGO | Q1 | — | ₹4,551 | ₹4,936 | -8.5% | +8.5% | 4,266.7 – 5,066.9 | 50% | +3.2% | LOW |
| 11 | MAXHEALTH | Q1 | — | ₹995.0 | ₹1,077 | -8.2% | +8.2% | 994.9 – 1,099.5 | 70% | +8.2% | LOW |
| 12 | SBILIFE | Q1 | — | ₹1,865 | ₹2,016 | -8.1% | +8.1% | 1,890.5 – 2,105.3 | 74% | +7.4% | MED |
| 13 | BEL | Q1 | — | ₹419.9 | ₹438.7 | -4.5% | +4.5% | 412.6 – 454.7 | 51% | +2.1% | LOW |
| 14 | ONGC | Q1 | — | ₹273.3 | ₹285.1 | -4.3% | +4.3% | 258.9 – 301.6 | 59% | +3.6% | MED |
| 15 | ITC | Q1 | — | ₹292.2 | ₹304.1 | -4.1% | +4.1% | 294.1 – 332.0 | 62% | +3.0% | HIGH |
Full Nifty 50 scan
Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.
Show all 50 names
| Stock | Signal | Spot | 6M POC | % from POC | VAL | VAH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HCLTECH | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,167 | ₹1,665 | -42.7% | ₹1,365 | ₹1,780 |
| TCS | Q1 · DEEP | ₹2,290 | ₹3,220 | -40.6% | ₹2,474 | ₹3,350 |
| HDFCLIFE | Q1 · DEEP | ₹610.5 | ₹756.3 | -23.9% | ₹618.2 | ₹782.2 |
| HDFCBANK | Q1 · DEEP | ₹759.2 | ₹925.6 | -21.9% | ₹765.0 | ₹966.3 |
| M&M | Q1 · DEEP | ₹3,128 | ₹3,630 | -16.1% | ₹3,166 | ₹3,808 |
| BAJAJFINSV | Q1 | ₹1,812 | ₹2,046 | -12.9% | ₹1,782 | ₹2,106 |
| ETERNAL | MID | ₹255.7 | ₹284.9 | -11.4% | ₹246.6 | ₹305.7 |
| SBIN | Q1 | ₹967.3 | ₹1,068 | -10.4% | ₹969.4 | ₹1,115 |
| KOTAKBANK | Q1 | ₹389.4 | ₹425.2 | -9.2% | ₹379.5 | ₹445.6 |
| INDIGO | Q1 | ₹4,551 | ₹4,936 | -8.5% | ₹4,267 | ₹5,067 |
| MAXHEALTH | Q1 | ₹995.0 | ₹1,077 | -8.2% | ₹994.9 | ₹1,100 |
| SBILIFE | Q1 | ₹1,865 | ₹2,016 | -8.1% | ₹1,890 | ₹2,105 |
| ICICIBANK | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,272 | ₹1,365 | -7.3% | ₹1,279 | ₹1,430 |
| HINDUNILVR | MID | ₹2,202 | ₹2,308 | -4.8% | ₹2,215 | ₹2,433 |
| BEL | Q1 | ₹419.9 | ₹438.7 | -4.5% | ₹412.6 | ₹454.7 |
| ONGC | Q1 | ₹273.3 | ₹285.1 | -4.3% | ₹258.9 | ₹301.6 |
| ITC | Q1 | ₹292.2 | ₹304.1 | -4.1% | ₹294.1 | ₹332.0 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | MID | ₹964.0 | ₹1,000 | -3.7% | ₹942.0 | ₹1,080 |
| RELIANCE | MID | ₹1,353 | ₹1,399 | -3.5% | ₹1,331 | ₹1,460 |
| INFY | MID | ₹1,162 | ₹1,175 | -1.1% | ₹1,089 | ₹1,596 |
| WIPRO | MID | ₹201.7 | ₹203.4 | -0.8% | ₹186.5 | ₹242.6 |
| LT | MID | ₹4,050 | ₹4,060 | -0.2% | ₹3,816 | ₹4,189 |
| TECHM | MID | ₹1,456 | ₹1,459 | -0.2% | ₹1,318 | ₹1,587 |
| POWERGRID | MID | ₹300.5 | ₹300.2 | +0.1% | ₹273.2 | ₹324.8 |
| JIOFIN | MID | ₹243.6 | ₹242.7 | +0.4% | ₹226.0 | ₹270.5 |
| BHARTIARTL | MID | ₹1,847 | ₹1,833 | +0.8% | ₹1,757 | ₹2,014 |
| ULTRACEMCO | MID | ₹11,713 | ₹11,601 | +1.0% | ₹11,322 | ₹12,726 |
| TITAN | MID | ₹4,155 | ₹4,086 | +1.7% | ₹3,888 | ₹4,301 |
| BAJFINANCE | MID | ₹935.0 | ₹916.3 | +2.0% | ₹893.3 | ₹1,015 |
| TATACONSUM | MID | ₹1,205 | ₹1,177 | +2.3% | ₹1,099 | ₹1,203 |
| AXISBANK | MID | ₹1,304 | ₹1,271 | +2.6% | ₹1,222 | ₹1,352 |
| MARUTI | MID | ₹13,395 | ₹13,018 | +2.8% | ₹12,253 | ₹15,333 |
| JSWSTEEL | MID | ₹1,310 | ₹1,272 | +2.9% | ₹1,160 | ₹1,296 |
| TRENT | MID | ₹4,243 | ₹4,090 | +3.6% | ₹3,811 | ₹4,329 |
| DRREDDY | MID | ₹1,320 | ₹1,271 | +3.7% | ₹1,240 | ₹1,336 |
| EICHERMOT | MID | ₹7,426 | ₹7,125 | +4.1% | ₹6,853 | ₹7,425 |
| SUNPHARMA | MID | ₹1,840 | ₹1,720 | +6.5% | ₹1,689 | ₹1,845 |
| CIPLA | MID | ₹1,422 | ₹1,325 | +6.8% | ₹1,235 | ₹1,472 |
| COALINDIA | MID | ₹463.6 | ₹431.0 | +7.0% | ₹415.8 | ₹463.4 |
| NTPC | MID | ₹397.9 | ₹367.6 | +7.6% | ₹351.3 | ₹407.9 |
| NESTLEIND | Q5 | ₹1,428 | ₹1,306 | +8.5% | ₹1,191 | ₹1,325 |
| TATASTEEL | MID | ₹214.5 | ₹194.9 | +9.1% | ₹179.8 | ₹211.9 |
| ASIANPAINT | MID | ₹2,675 | ₹2,430 | +9.2% | ₹2,343 | ₹2,838 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | MID | ₹10,801 | ₹9,786 | +9.4% | ₹8,947 | ₹9,928 |
| TMPV | Q5 | ₹403.1 | ₹355.9 | +11.7% | ₹335.3 | ₹376.1 |
| GRASIM | Q5 | ₹3,168 | ₹2,747 | +13.3% | ₹2,711 | ₹2,945 |
| APOLLOHOSP | Q5 | ₹8,280 | ₹7,081 | +14.5% | ₹7,004 | ₹7,765 |
| ADANIPORTS | Q5 | ₹1,823 | ₹1,510 | +17.2% | ₹1,340 | ₹1,574 |
| HINDALCO | Q5 | ₹1,150 | ₹933.0 | +18.9% | ₹811.5 | ₹989.5 |
| ADANIENT | Q5 | ₹2,973 | ₹2,230 | +25.0% | ₹1,903 | ₹2,337 |
How to read this
A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.
POC — Point of Control
The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.
Value Area (VAL–VAH)
The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.
Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals
Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.
Q1·DEEP edge
From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.
Q1 edge
Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.
What this is not
This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.
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