Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -10.9% from its 6-month POC.

19 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 8 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 01 Jun 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 01 Jun 2026, 16:41 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,379.2

last close

6-month POC

25,937.4

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

-10.9%

deeply oversold

Oversold names

19 / 50

8 deeply oversold

View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →

📊 Today's read

Nifty 50 closed 23,379 — -10.9% below its 6M POC of 25,937, in Q1_DEEP territory. Sharp -527 pt cumulative drop Friday + Monday, with 300 pt of Friday's slide concentrated in the final 30 min. 20 of 49 tracked stocks are now oversold (9 deeply). The dominant near-term catalyst is the RBI MPC verdict on Friday June 5 @ 10 AM IST — consensus is a hold at 5.25%, but pre-event positioning is heavy. The structural pocket of stress is IT-services + banking-financials, with two IT majors and two private banks sitting in the deep tier.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 01 Jun 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	TCS	Q1 · DEEP	MODERATE	₹2,296	₹3,220	-40.2%	+40.2%	2,464.8 – 3,350.0	54%	+1.7%	HIGH
2	HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,193	₹1,665	-39.6%	+39.6%	1,359.2 – 1,780.1	67%	+7.9%	MED
3	HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹742.5	₹925.9	-24.7%	+24.7%	764.9 – 966.4	66%	+4.7%	HIGH
4	M&M	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹2,970	₹3,630	-22.2%	+22.2%	3,143.3 – 3,777.6	61%	+8.8%	LOW
5	KOTAKBANK	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹378.0	₹425.2	-12.5%	+12.5%	379.5 – 445.6	76%	+7.0%	HIGH
6	SBIN	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹954.5	₹1,068	-11.9%	+11.9%	968.2 – 1,115.0	83%	+9.1%	HIGH
7	ICICIBANK	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,239	₹1,365	-10.2%	+10.2%	1,275.8 – 1,429.5	70%	+6.7%	HIGH
8	BEL	Q1 · DEEP	—	₹407.2	₹438.7	-7.7%	+7.7%	412.3 – 454.7	51%	+2.1%	LOW
9	BAJAJFINSV	Q1	—	₹1,761	₹2,046	-16.2%	+16.2%	1,779.6 – 2,101.8	72%	+13.6%	MED
10	SBILIFE	Q1	—	₹1,807	₹2,016	-11.6%	+11.6%	1,884.0 – 2,105.3	74%	+7.4%	MED
11	INDIGO	Q1	—	₹4,460	₹4,949	-11.0%	+11.0%	4,272.9 – 5,035.6	50%	+3.2%	LOW
12	HINDUNILVR	Q1	—	₹2,089	₹2,307	-10.5%	+10.5%	2,211.2 – 2,433.1	68%	+4.3%	HIGH
13	ITC	Q1	—	₹279.3	₹304.1	-8.9%	+8.9%	295.2 – 332.6	62%	+3.0%	HIGH
14	SHRIRAMFIN	Q1	—	₹923.0	₹1,000	-8.3%	+8.3%	937.4 – 1,070.8	68%	+9.1%	LOW
15	ONGC	Q1	—	₹264.1	₹285.1	-8.0%	+8.0%	258.9 – 300.3	59%	+3.6%	MED
16	MAXHEALTH	Q1	—	₹943.0	₹1,014	-7.5%	+7.5%	950.9 – 1,062.5	70%	+8.2%	LOW
17	RELIANCE	Q1	—	₹1,321	₹1,399	-5.9%	+5.9%	1,327.3 – 1,456.0	75%	+10.3%	HIGH
18	POWERGRID	Q1	—	₹285.0	₹300.2	-5.3%	+5.3%	284.9 – 322.7	58%	+2.8%	MED
19	BHARTIARTL	Q1	—	₹1,807	₹1,833	-1.4%	+1.4%	1,756.6 – 2,010.7	58%	+4.3%	HIGH

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

TCSMODERATE

Structure: Spot ₹2,296 vs 6M POC ₹3,220 — -40.2% from POC, one of the deepest IT dislocations in 5y of data. But historical hit rate at this depth is unusually weak (54%) and hist fwd60d only +1.7%.

News: FY27 guide came in soft (1-4% CC). Mega-deal pipeline strong ($12B TCV in Q4). Q1 FY27 earnings binary in mid-Jul.

Key risk: Already priced demand drag; further FY27 guide cuts at earnings would extend the dislocation.

HCLTECHSTRONG

Structure: Spot ₹1,193 vs 6M POC ₹1,665 — -39.6% from POC. Hist hit 67%, hist fwd60d +7.9% — solid stats for the deep tier.

News: FY27 guide 1-4% CC, two telecom client cuts + manufacturing/retail SAP customers slowed. AI revenue $620M annualized. News mostly priced in.

Key risk: Q1 FY27 results in mid-Jul; sector-wide IT repricing if soft.

HDFCBANKSTRONG

Structure: Spot ₹742.5 vs 6M POC ₹925.85 — -24.7% from POC. Hist hit 66%, fwd60d +4.7%. Clean fundamentals.

News: Q4 PAT +9.1%, GNPA improved to 1.15%, deposits +14.4%. Final dividend ₹13 ex-date Jun 19, 2026 (~1.7% of price — factor into any spread breakeven).

Key risk: Sector-wide bank derate from RBI verdict; option-chain liquidity is thin.

M&MSTRONG

Structure: Spot ₹2,970 vs 6M POC ₹3,630 — -22.2% from POC. Hist hit 61%, fwd60d +8.8%.

News: Q4 revenue +25%, profit +32%, SUV market share +60 bps YoY. Final dividend ₹33 ex-date Jul 3, 2026.

Key risk: Auto sales cyclicality + commodity input pressure.

KOTAKBANKSTRONG

Structure: Spot ₹378 vs 6M POC ₹425 (both post 5:1 split Jan 14 2026 — not a corporate-action artifact). -12.5% from POC. Hist hit 76% (highest in deep tier).

News: Q4 PAT +13%, GNPA improved to 1.20%, ₹0.65 dividend (tiny).

Key risk: Option chain illiquid at most strikes; sector-wide bank repricing.

SBINSTRONG

Structure: Spot ₹954.5 vs 6M POC ₹1,068 — -11.9% from POC. Hist hit 83% (highest hit rate in the tracked universe), fwd60d +9.1%.

News: FY26 PAT +12.88%, gross advances +16.87% to ₹49.3 trillion. Dividend ₹17.35 already paid Jun 4 — past.

Key risk: PSU bank correlation to RBI Friday.

ICICIBANKSTRONG

Structure: Spot ₹1,238.6 vs 6M POC ₹1,365 — -10.2% from POC. Hist hit 70%, fwd60d +6.7%.

News: Q4 PAT +8.5%, NII +8.4%, NIM 4.32%. ₹12 dividend pending AGM approval (likely Jul-Aug record date).

Key risk: Bank sector cluster risk into RBI; otherwise the cleanest fundamental story in the bunch.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
NIFTY	RBI MPC verdict (Sanjay Malhotra)	Fri Jun 5, 10 AM IST	Macro	LARGE	Consensus is hold at 5.25%. Pre-event option vol is loaded; expect vol crush post-verdict. Single biggest near-term event for the index.
HDFCBANK	Ex-dividend ₹13 (FY26 final)	Jun 19, 2026	Dividend	SMALL	~1.7% of price. Bull-call spreads need to factor ₹13/share into the breakeven.
BAJAJFINSV	Record date ₹1.50 dividend (incl. ₹0.20 special — 100 yrs Bajaj)	Jun 30, 2026	Dividend	SMALL	Negligible (~0.09% of price); informational only.
M&M	Ex-dividend ₹33 (FY26 final)	Jul 3, 2026	Dividend	SMALL	~1.1% of price. Outside June expiry window; relevant only for July-anchored spreads.
US	US CPI (May print)	~Jun 11-12, 2026	Macro	MEDIUM	Can spike INR / Nifty vol; minor impact on single-stock structure.
TCS	Q1 FY27 results	mid-Jul 2026 (est)	Earnings	LARGE	Binary on FY27 guidance; relevant only for Jul-expiry trades.
HCLTECH	Q1 FY27 results	mid-Jul 2026 (est)	Earnings	LARGE	Same IT-cycle binary as TCS.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
TCS	Q1 · DEEP	₹2,296	₹3,220	-40.2%	₹2,465	₹3,350
HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,193	₹1,665	-39.6%	₹1,359	₹1,780
HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹742.5	₹925.9	-24.7%	₹764.9	₹966.4
M&M	Q1 · DEEP	₹2,970	₹3,630	-22.2%	₹3,143	₹3,778
BAJAJFINSV	Q1	₹1,761	₹2,046	-16.2%	₹1,780	₹2,102
ETERNAL	MID	₹248.3	₹284.9	-14.8%	₹245.4	₹299.9
KOTAKBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹378.0	₹425.2	-12.5%	₹379.5	₹445.6
SBIN	Q1 · DEEP	₹954.5	₹1,068	-11.9%	₹968.2	₹1,115
SBILIFE	Q1	₹1,807	₹2,016	-11.6%	₹1,884	₹2,105
INDIGO	Q1	₹4,460	₹4,949	-11.0%	₹4,273	₹5,036
HINDUNILVR	Q1	₹2,089	₹2,307	-10.5%	₹2,211	₹2,433
ICICIBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,239	₹1,365	-10.2%	₹1,276	₹1,430
ITC	Q1	₹279.3	₹304.1	-8.9%	₹295.2	₹332.6
SHRIRAMFIN	Q1	₹923.0	₹1,000	-8.3%	₹937.4	₹1,071
ONGC	Q1	₹264.1	₹285.1	-8.0%	₹258.9	₹300.3
BEL	Q1 · DEEP	₹407.2	₹438.7	-7.7%	₹412.3	₹454.7
MAXHEALTH	Q1	₹943.0	₹1,014	-7.5%	₹950.9	₹1,062
RELIANCE	Q1	₹1,321	₹1,399	-5.9%	₹1,327	₹1,456
POWERGRID	Q1	₹285.0	₹300.2	-5.3%	₹284.9	₹322.7
TATACONSUM	MID	₹1,145	₹1,182	-3.3%	₹1,099	₹1,203
ULTRACEMCO	MID	₹11,242	₹11,601	-3.2%	₹11,199	₹12,681
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹888.4	₹916.3	-3.1%	₹891.1	₹1,011
JIOFIN	MID	₹234.9	₹242.2	-3.1%	₹227.3	₹269.6
HDFCLIFE	MID	₹587.0	₹604.6	-3.0%	₹555.1	₹732.7
TITAN	MID	₹4,010	₹4,086	-1.9%	₹3,901	₹4,301
BHARTIARTL	Q1	₹1,807	₹1,833	-1.4%	₹1,757	₹2,011
LT	MID	₹4,012	₹4,060	-1.2%	₹3,816	₹4,189
MARUTI	MID	₹12,930	₹13,018	-0.7%	₹12,253	₹15,189
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,114	₹7,146	-0.4%	₹6,853	₹7,425
TATASTEEL	MID	₹210.4	₹210.2	+0.1%	₹188.6	₹217.7
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,278	₹1,271	+0.5%	₹1,222	₹1,352
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,286	₹1,271	+1.2%	₹1,240	₹1,336
WIPRO	MID	₹206.5	₹203.4	+1.5%	₹186.5	₹240.4
TRENT	MID	₹4,153	₹4,090	+1.5%	₹3,811	₹4,329
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,301	₹1,272	+2.2%	₹1,161	₹1,298
INFY	MID	₹1,203	₹1,175	+2.4%	₹1,089	₹1,596
NTPC	MID	₹378.0	₹367.6	+2.8%	₹354.1	₹407.9
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,790	₹1,720	+3.9%	₹1,685	₹1,842
CIPLA	MID	₹1,394	₹1,325	+4.9%	₹1,240	₹1,472
TECHM	MID	₹1,539	₹1,459	+5.2%	₹1,321	₹1,587
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹10,380	₹9,786	+5.7%	₹8,920	₹9,928
NESTLEIND	MID	₹1,395	₹1,306	+6.4%	₹1,183	₹1,325
TMPV	MID	₹385.2	₹355.9	+7.6%	₹335.0	₹377.8
ASIANPAINT	MID	₹2,637	₹2,430	+7.8%	₹2,350	₹2,820
COALINDIA	MID	₹473.4	₹431.0	+9.0%	₹415.8	₹463.4
GRASIM	Q5	₹3,092	₹2,747	+11.2%	₹2,711	₹2,953
APOLLOHOSP	Q5	₹8,081	₹7,081	+12.4%	₹7,004	₹7,779
ADANIPORTS	Q5	₹1,785	₹1,509	+15.5%	₹1,333	₹1,584
HINDALCO	Q5	₹1,142	₹933.0	+18.3%	₹808.5	₹990.0
ADANIENT	Q5	₹2,908	₹2,230	+23.3%	₹1,868	₹2,337

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 01 Jun 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.