Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -10.5% from its 6-month POC.

22 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 7 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 05 Jun 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 05 Jun 2026, 17:31 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,368.8

last close

6-month POC

25,823.8

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

-10.5%

deeply oversold

Oversold names

22 / 50

7 deeply oversold

View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →

📊 Today's read

Nifty closed 23,369, -10.5% from its 6M POC for a third consecutive week in Q1_DEEP. RBI MPC today held repo at 5.25% (third consecutive hold, neutral stance) — no rate-cut catalyst either direction. Tape remains fragile: Brent ~$97/bbl on Iran/Strait-of-Hormuz risk, FII selling ~₹3,900cr per session offset by DII buying. One bright spot: TCS-Mistral AI partnership lifted Nifty IT +4% this week, and that is where the deepest dislocations sit.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 05 Jun 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	TCS	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹2,195	₹3,212	-46.4%	+46.4%	2,445.8 – 3,354.9	54%	+1.7%	HIGH
2	HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,155	₹1,665	-44.2%	+44.2%	1,352.7 – 1,782.6	67%	+7.9%	MED
3	HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹748.2	₹925.9	-23.8%	+23.8%	762.3 – 957.2	66%	+4.7%	HIGH
4	M&M	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹3,039	₹3,627	-19.4%	+19.4%	3,126.4 – 3,774.3	61%	+8.8%	LOW
5	SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,785	₹2,016	-12.9%	+12.9%	1,874.1 – 2,102.9	74%	+7.4%	MED
6	ICICIBANK	Q1 · DEEP	MODERATE	₹1,260	₹1,364	-8.2%	+8.2%	1,272.4 – 1,436.5	70%	+6.7%	HIGH
7	BEL	Q1 · DEEP	MODERATE	₹408.0	₹438.1	-7.4%	+7.4%	408.2 – 450.1	51%	+2.1%	LOW
8	BAJAJFINSV	Q1	STRONG	₹1,700	₹2,046	-20.4%	+20.4%	1,774.3 – 2,087.5	72%	+13.6%	MED
9	INDIGO	Q1	—	₹4,474	₹4,942	-10.5%	+10.5%	4,302.7 – 5,034.4	50%	+3.2%	LOW
10	SBIN	Q1	STRONG	₹977.0	₹1,068	-9.4%	+9.4%	968.3 – 1,114.2	83%	+9.1%	HIGH
11	HINDUNILVR	Q1	MODERATE	₹2,121	₹2,311	-9.0%	+9.0%	2,201.2 – 2,430.2	68%	+4.3%	HIGH
12	RELIANCE	Q1	—	₹1,292	₹1,402	-8.6%	+8.6%	1,328.8 – 1,458.2	75%	+10.3%	HIGH
13	SHRIRAMFIN	Q1	—	₹922.6	₹1,000	-8.4%	+8.4%	935.1 – 1,069.1	68%	+9.1%	LOW
14	ONGC	Q1	—	₹264.4	₹285.0	-7.8%	+7.8%	259.3 – 298.9	59%	+3.6%	MED
15	ULTRACEMCO	Q1	—	₹10,919	₹11,693	-7.1%	+7.1%	10,938.4 – 12,472.0	76%	+7.6%	MED
16	ITC	Q1	—	₹280.9	₹296.3	-5.5%	+5.5%	287.2 – 322.9	62%	+3.0%	HIGH
17	POWERGRID	Q1	—	₹285.5	₹300.3	-5.2%	+5.2%	280.9 – 320.9	58%	+2.8%	MED
18	TATACONSUM	Q1	—	₹1,132	₹1,180	-4.2%	+4.2%	1,100.9 – 1,202.7	78%	+9.9%	LOW
19	MAXHEALTH	Q1	—	₹975.5	₹1,014	-4.0%	+4.0%	953.0 – 1,061.0	70%	+8.2%	LOW
20	LT	Q1	—	₹3,962	₹4,054	-2.3%	+2.3%	3,829.3 – 4,190.1	69%	+4.5%	HIGH
21	BHARTIARTL	Q1	—	₹1,796	₹1,832	-2.0%	+2.0%	1,755.8 – 2,007.6	58%	+4.3%	HIGH
22	NTPC	Q1	—	₹361.2	₹367.3	-1.7%	+1.7%	356.2 – 407.2	64%	+3.8%	MED

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

TCSSTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP -46.4% from 6M POC — deepest in the universe. FY26 best margins in 4 years; AGM Jun 9 informational (dividend already declared).

News: TCS-Mistral AI partnership triggered Nifty IT +4% this week.

Key risk: Upside is sentiment-driven post-AGM; no fresh fundamental trigger queued.

HCLTECHSTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP -44.2% with hist hit 67% / fwd60d +7.9%. Highest dividend yield in IT (~3.75%, FY26 ₹60/share payout).

News: Riding the IT-sector rally tailwind from TCS-Mistral.

Key risk: IT rally fades if global tech sentiment turns; no idiosyncratic risk identified.

HDFCBANKSTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP -23.8%; Q4 NPA cleaned to 1.15% (from 1.33%); 'harvest phase' of HDFC merger materialising. POC drifting toward price (-7% over 20d).

News: ₹13 final dividend, record date Jun 19.

Key risk: Dividend ex-date impacts spread economics marginally (~1.7%); already priced in.

BAJAJFINSVSTRONG

Structure: Q1 -20.4% — deepest Q1 in the universe with the best forward stats (hit 72% / fwd60d +13.6%). Record FY26 income/PAT.

News: ₹1.50 special dividend (100-yr Bajaj) record Jun 30; AGM Jul 31.

Key risk: NBFC sentiment sensitive to RBI tone shifts; no idiosyncratic event in window.

M&MSTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP -19.4%; hist hit 60.5% / fwd60d +8.8%.

News: May auto sales +20% YoY (99,636 units); tractors +22%. Investor meetings Jun 2-5.

Key risk: Strong fundamentals confirmed but signal needs runway — short-dated structures risk time decay.

SBILIFESTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP -13.0% with hist hit 74% / fwd60d +7.4%. Q4 new-business premium +20%; management guides ~14% long-term growth. Clean event window.

Key risk: Insurance regulatory overhang (GST, Labor Code) flagged by management.

ICICIBANKMODERATE

Structure: Q1_DEEP but shallow at -8.2%. Q4 net profit +8.5%; ₹12 final dividend declared (highest in 12 years).

Key risk: Shallow Q1_DEEP tier; less depth than HDFCBANK or TCS for the same expected move.

BELMODERATE

Structure: Q1_DEEP -7.4%; FY26 revenue +16%, PAT +14%, order book ₹73,882cr. Premium-priced defence PSU.

Key risk: Hist stats weakest in Q1_DEEP tier (hit 50.5% / fwd60d +2.1%); LOW option liquidity.

SBINSTRONG

Structure: Q1 -9.4%; hist hit 83% — the highest Q1 hit rate in the universe. Final dividend ₹17.35 paid Jun 4; AGM Jun 18 informational.

Key risk: Shallow Q1 tier — the depth is modest even if hit rate is best.

HINDUNILVRMODERATE

Structure: Q1 -9.0%; hist hit 68% / fwd60d +4.3%. Multiple investor meetings Jun 2-8.

News: ₹22 final dividend ex-date Jun 23; AGM Jun 30.

Key risk: Dividend (~1% of price) reduces spread economics marginally; AGM informational.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
TCS	31st AGM (informational)	2026-06-09	AGM	SMALL	Sentiment-only; dividend already declared.
HDFCBANK	Final dividend ₹13 ex-date	2026-06-19	Dividend	SMALL	~1.7% of price; already in option pricing.
SBIN	71st AGM (informational)	2026-06-18	AGM	SMALL	Informational; dividend already paid.
HINDUNILVR	Final dividend ₹22 ex-date	2026-06-23	Dividend	SMALL	~1% of price; minor spread impact.
HINDUNILVR	93rd AGM	2026-06-30	AGM	SMALL	Informational.
BAJAJFINSV	Final dividend ₹1.50 record date	2026-06-30	Dividend	SMALL	0.09% of price; trivial.
NIFTY	US tariff comment window close	2026-07-06	Regulatory / macro	LARGE	Binary risk on broad tape; the live overhang.
NIFTY	Iran / Strait-of-Hormuz / crude risk	Ongoing	Macro	MEDIUM	Brent ~$97/bbl; sharp move either way moves Nifty 1-3%.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
TCS	Q1 · DEEP	₹2,195	₹3,212	-46.4%	₹2,446	₹3,355
HCLTECH	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,155	₹1,665	-44.2%	₹1,353	₹1,783
HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹748.2	₹925.9	-23.8%	₹762.3	₹957.2
BAJAJFINSV	Q1	₹1,700	₹2,046	-20.4%	₹1,774	₹2,087
M&M	Q1 · DEEP	₹3,039	₹3,627	-19.4%	₹3,126	₹3,774
SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,785	₹2,016	-12.9%	₹1,874	₹2,103
ETERNAL	MID	₹257.0	₹284.8	-10.8%	₹245.9	₹299.7
INDIGO	Q1	₹4,474	₹4,942	-10.5%	₹4,303	₹5,034
SBIN	Q1	₹977.0	₹1,068	-9.4%	₹968.3	₹1,114
HINDUNILVR	Q1	₹2,121	₹2,311	-9.0%	₹2,201	₹2,430
RELIANCE	Q1	₹1,292	₹1,402	-8.6%	₹1,329	₹1,458
SHRIRAMFIN	Q1	₹922.6	₹1,000	-8.4%	₹935.1	₹1,069
ICICIBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,260	₹1,364	-8.2%	₹1,272	₹1,437
ONGC	Q1	₹264.4	₹285.0	-7.8%	₹259.3	₹298.9
BEL	Q1 · DEEP	₹408.0	₹438.1	-7.4%	₹408.2	₹450.1
ULTRACEMCO	Q1	₹10,919	₹11,693	-7.1%	₹10,938	₹12,472
ITC	Q1	₹280.9	₹296.3	-5.5%	₹287.2	₹322.9
POWERGRID	Q1	₹285.5	₹300.3	-5.2%	₹280.9	₹320.9
HDFCLIFE	MID	₹574.8	₹603.9	-5.1%	₹555.1	₹729.8
TATACONSUM	Q1	₹1,132	₹1,180	-4.2%	₹1,101	₹1,203
MAXHEALTH	Q1	₹975.5	₹1,014	-4.0%	₹953.0	₹1,061
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹889.5	₹917.9	-3.2%	₹889.6	₹1,012
WIPRO	MID	₹198.1	₹203.5	-2.8%	₹186.7	₹236.4
LT	Q1	₹3,962	₹4,054	-2.3%	₹3,829	₹4,190
JIOFIN	MID	₹237.2	₹242.4	-2.2%	₹227.3	₹267.4
BHARTIARTL	Q1	₹1,796	₹1,832	-2.0%	₹1,756	₹2,008
TATASTEEL	MID	₹206.8	₹210.4	-1.8%	₹189.5	₹217.9
NTPC	Q1	₹361.2	₹367.3	-1.7%	₹356.2	₹407.2
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,051	₹7,119	-1.0%	₹6,860	₹7,422
KOTAKBANK	MID	₹376.9	₹380.3	-0.9%	₹345.5	₹422.5
MARUTI	MID	₹13,035	₹13,137	-0.8%	₹12,258	₹15,150
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,273	₹1,271	+0.2%	₹1,222	₹1,351
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,283	₹1,272	+0.9%	₹1,241	₹1,335
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,287	₹1,273	+1.1%	₹1,166	₹1,302
TECHM	MID	₹1,482	₹1,460	+1.5%	₹1,320	₹1,585
TRENT	MID	₹2,770	₹2,726	+1.6%	₹2,547	₹2,883
INFY	MID	₹1,199	₹1,174	+2.1%	₹1,089	₹1,592
COALINDIA	MID	₹471.7	₹456.8	+3.2%	₹425.4	₹474.3
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,784	₹1,718	+3.7%	₹1,666	₹1,823
TITAN	MID	₹4,265	₹4,086	+4.2%	₹3,912	₹4,293
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹10,350	₹9,795	+5.4%	₹8,873	₹9,929
CIPLA	MID	₹1,402	₹1,326	+5.4%	₹1,251	₹1,471
NESTLEIND	MID	₹1,391	₹1,306	+6.2%	₹1,171	₹1,326
ASIANPAINT	Q5	₹2,677	₹2,425	+9.4%	₹2,350	₹2,809
GRASIM	Q5	₹3,076	₹2,748	+10.7%	₹2,708	₹2,967
TMPV	Q5	₹397.4	₹350.9	+11.7%	₹335.3	₹380.6
HINDALCO	MID	₹1,090	₹933.2	+14.4%	₹810.6	₹1,020
APOLLOHOSP	Q5	₹8,314	₹7,088	+14.8%	₹6,997	₹7,810
ADANIPORTS	Q5	₹1,825	₹1,378	+24.5%	₹1,333	₹1,606
ADANIENT	Q5	₹3,043	₹2,232	+26.7%	₹1,819	₹2,338

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 05 Jun 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.