Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -11.7% from its 6-month POC.

20 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 6 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 08 Jun 2026 close (IST)
Last updated 08 Jun 2026, 16:44 IST
📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →
Nifty 50 spot
23,103.7
last close
6-month POC
25,812.0
fair-value anchor
Distance from POC
-11.7%
deeply oversold
Oversold names
20 / 50
6 deeply oversold

View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →

📊 Today's read

Nifty closed at 23,104 — 11.7% below the 6M POC (25,812), printing Q1_DEEP. Iran-Israel escalation drove a -0.7% session, with Wipro (-5.6%), Indigo (-2.6%) and IT bearing most of the bleed. 20 of 49 large-caps oversold (6 Q1_DEEP + 14 Q1), with INDIGO and WIPRO joining intraday and ONGC dropping out. RBI's Jun 5 MPC (5.25%, neutral) is already priced. Structurally this is the deepest broad-tape Q1_DEEP this cycle, but the live geopolitical binary penalises fresh exposure.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 08 Jun 2026
Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#StockSignalSetupSpot6M POC % from POCUpside to POCValue area (VAL–VAH) Hist 60d hitHist 60d retOpt liq
1 TCS Q1 · DEEP STRONG ₹2,155 ₹3,218 -49.3% +49.3% 2,437.7 – 3,354.3 54% +1.7% HIGH
2 HCLTECH Q1 · DEEP STRONG ₹1,151 ₹1,665 -44.7% +44.7% 1,350.5 – 1,782.0 67% +7.9% MED
3 HDFCBANK Q1 · DEEP STRONG ₹738.4 ₹925.9 -25.4% +25.4% 763.4 – 956.7 66% +4.7% HIGH
4 SBILIFE Q1 · DEEP LOW ₹1,768 ₹2,017 -14.1% +14.1% 1,871.7 – 2,103.8 74% +7.4% MED
5 ICICIBANK Q1 · DEEP STRONG ₹1,250 ₹1,364 -9.1% +9.1% 1,272.3 – 1,436.3 70% +6.7% HIGH
6 BEL Q1 · DEEP MODERATE ₹412.0 ₹439.0 -6.6% +6.6% 409.1 – 450.1 51% +2.1% LOW
7 INDIGO Q1 — ₹4,375 ₹4,948 -13.1% +13.1% 4,292.4 – 5,031.2 50% +3.2% LOW
8 WIPRO Q1 — ₹181.7 ₹203.5 -12.0% +12.0% 182.6 – 235.5 48% +1.1% MED
9 SHRIRAMFIN Q1 — ₹894.4 ₹1,000 -11.8% +11.8% 921.1 – 1,049.4 68% +9.1% LOW
10 RELIANCE Q1 MODERATE ₹1,263 ₹1,401 -11.0% +11.0% 1,330.9 – 1,460.1 75% +10.3% HIGH
11 HINDUNILVR Q1 — ₹2,110 ₹2,311 -9.5% +9.5% 2,196.4 – 2,429.9 68% +4.3% HIGH
12 SBIN Q1 — ₹980.0 ₹1,068 -9.0% +9.0% 970.4 – 1,114.3 83% +9.1% HIGH
13 ULTRACEMCO Q1 — ₹10,770 ₹11,694 -8.6% +8.6% 10,915.1 – 12,473.1 76% +7.6% MED
14 TATACONSUM Q1 — ₹1,106 ₹1,180 -6.6% +6.6% 1,100.9 – 1,202.7 78% +9.9% LOW
15 BAJAJFINSV Q1 — ₹1,666 ₹1,773 -6.4% +6.4% 1,626.9 – 2,004.8 72% +13.6% MED
16 ITC Q1 — ₹280.0 ₹296.2 -5.8% +5.8% 287.2 – 322.3 62% +3.0% HIGH
17 M&M Q1 — ₹2,970 ₹3,131 -5.4% +5.4% 2,939.0 – 3,541.5 61% +8.8% LOW
18 LT Q1 — ₹3,870 ₹4,054 -4.7% +4.7% 3,821.3 – 4,190.1 69% +4.5% HIGH
19 POWERGRID Q1 — ₹290.6 ₹300.4 -3.4% +3.4% 280.9 – 320.4 58% +2.8% MED
20 NTPC Q1 — ₹360.9 ₹367.3 -1.8% +1.8% 356.2 – 405.1 64% +3.8% MED

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

TCSSTRONG
Structure: Q1_DEEP at -49.3% — deepest IT dislocation on the board. Q4 FY26 closed strong with $12B TCV; Jun deal-flow positive.
News: Jun 3 Euroclear Sweden CSD modernisation expansion; Jun 4 Nokian Tyres AI-led IT transformation deal.
Key risk: IT-sector derate continues; spot has 14%+ to traverse for any near-month structure to print.
HCLTECHSTRONG
Structure: Q1_DEEP at -44.7% — second-deepest IT print. FY26 done clean, ₹60 div, AI revenue annualised at $620M.
News: Autonomous Finance Platform launched; Pegasystems collab.
Key risk: Same IT-sector overhang as TCS; needs a sentiment reset to mean-revert.
HDFCBANKSTRONG
Structure: Q1_DEEP at -25.4%. Q4 profit +9% to ₹19,221 cr, NPA improved.
News: ₹13 final dividend declared, record date Jun 19.
Key risk: Ex-date ~Jun 18 (~1.76% of price, minor). Bigger risk: financials following IT lower on sustained risk-off.
Structure: Q1_DEEP at -14.1%, but the news stack is negative.
News: Cancelled Jun 4 + Jun 8 investor conferences ('exigency'); Q4 PBDIT loss worst in recent quarters; MarketsMojo SELL.
Key risk: Cancelled-conference signal often precedes negative disclosure; depth alone doesn't override flagged-news downgrade.
ICICIBANKSTRONG
Structure: Q1_DEEP at -9.1%. One of the strongest tape-relative banks despite Q1_DEEP print.
News: Jun 1 SEBI warning on FPI repatriation lapse, disclosed as no material impact.
Key risk: Second compliance issue would reset narrative; today's tape pulls financials with global risk-off.
BELMODERATE
Structure: Q1_DEEP at -6.6%. Order book ₹73,882 cr; QRSAM contract signing expected Jul → real catalyst.
News: ₹608 cr orders added since May 5; FY27 target ₹55,000 cr inflows.
Key risk: LOW option liquidity blocks a clean spread structure even with the catalyst lined up.
RELIANCEMODERATE
Structure: Q1 at -10.9% (deepened today). 49th AGM Jun 19 with Jio IPO update expected — material catalyst within standard hold window.
News: ₹6 dividend (record Jun 5 already past); FY26 revenue ₹11.76 lakh cr (+10%).
Key risk: AGM disappointment on Jio IPO timeline would invalidate the catalyst thesis.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

StockEventDateTypeMagnitude Impact
NIFTYIran-Israel escalation (live)Jun 8 onwardsGeopoliticalLARGERisk-off tape; option IVs rising; defer fresh opens until binary resolves.
TATACONSUM63rd AGMJun 10AGMSMALLDividend ex-date already passed (May 25); AGM tone watches consumer-volume narrative.
HDFCBANKEx-dividend ₹13 (record Jun 19)~Jun 18DividendSMALL1.76% of price; net spread hit ~₹2-5/share; mostly priced in.
RELIANCE49th AGM + Jio IPO updateJun 19AGMMEDIUM-LARGEMaterial catalyst — Jio IPO clarity moves the stock either way.
INDIGO6 international routes suspendedJul 1 - Sep 30OperationalMEDIUMBearish near-term; FY26 net loss ₹2,392 cr backdrop.
BELQRSAM contract signing~Jul 2026OrderLARGEOrder-book accretion catalyst; needs option liquidity to monetise.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names
StockSignalSpot6M POC % from POCVALVAH
TCS Q1 · DEEP ₹2,155 ₹3,218 -49.3% ₹2,438 ₹3,354
HCLTECH Q1 · DEEP ₹1,151 ₹1,665 -44.7% ₹1,351 ₹1,782
HDFCBANK Q1 · DEEP ₹738.4 ₹925.9 -25.4% ₹763.4 ₹956.7
ETERNAL MID ₹247.4 ₹284.9 -15.1% ₹245.6 ₹299.7
SBILIFE Q1 · DEEP ₹1,768 ₹2,017 -14.1% ₹1,872 ₹2,104
INDIGO Q1 ₹4,375 ₹4,948 -13.1% ₹4,292 ₹5,031
WIPRO Q1 ₹181.7 ₹203.5 -12.0% ₹182.6 ₹235.5
SHRIRAMFIN Q1 ₹894.4 ₹1,000 -11.8% ₹921.1 ₹1,049
RELIANCE Q1 ₹1,263 ₹1,401 -11.0% ₹1,331 ₹1,460
HINDUNILVR Q1 ₹2,110 ₹2,311 -9.5% ₹2,196 ₹2,430
ICICIBANK Q1 · DEEP ₹1,250 ₹1,364 -9.1% ₹1,272 ₹1,436
SBIN Q1 ₹980.0 ₹1,068 -9.0% ₹970.4 ₹1,114
ULTRACEMCO Q1 ₹10,770 ₹11,694 -8.6% ₹10,915 ₹12,473
HDFCLIFE MID ₹563.0 ₹604.3 -7.3% ₹555.1 ₹727.9
TATACONSUM Q1 ₹1,106 ₹1,180 -6.6% ₹1,101 ₹1,203
BEL Q1 · DEEP ₹412.0 ₹439.0 -6.6% ₹409.1 ₹450.1
BAJAJFINSV Q1 ₹1,666 ₹1,773 -6.4% ₹1,627 ₹2,005
JIOFIN MID ₹228.2 ₹242.3 -6.2% ₹227.3 ₹265.8
ITC Q1 ₹280.0 ₹296.2 -5.8% ₹287.2 ₹322.3
BAJFINANCE MID ₹870.0 ₹917.6 -5.5% ₹891.3 ₹1,012
M&M Q1 ₹2,970 ₹3,131 -5.4% ₹2,939 ₹3,542
LT Q1 ₹3,870 ₹4,054 -4.7% ₹3,821 ₹4,190
TATASTEEL MID ₹202.0 ₹210.2 -4.1% ₹190.0 ₹217.7
POWERGRID Q1 ₹290.6 ₹300.4 -3.4% ₹280.9 ₹320.4
NTPC Q1 ₹360.9 ₹367.3 -1.8% ₹356.2 ₹405.1
EICHERMOT MID ₹7,031 ₹7,120 -1.3% ₹6,860 ₹7,422
JSWSTEEL MID ₹1,258 ₹1,272 -1.1% ₹1,170 ₹1,301
MARUTI MID ₹12,890 ₹13,020 -1.0% ₹12,243 ₹15,101
BHARTIARTL MID ₹1,820 ₹1,832 -0.6% ₹1,756 ₹2,003
MAXHEALTH MID ₹1,008 ₹1,014 -0.6% ₹954.9 ₹1,061
KOTAKBANK MID ₹376.9 ₹378.9 -0.5% ₹345.5 ₹422.5
TRENT MID ₹2,712 ₹2,725 -0.5% ₹2,547 ₹2,888
AXISBANK MID ₹1,267 ₹1,271 -0.3% ₹1,222 ₹1,351
ONGC MID ₹264.6 ₹264.9 -0.1% ₹259.0 ₹298.2
DRREDDY MID ₹1,275 ₹1,271 +0.4% ₹1,240 ₹1,334
INFY MID ₹1,187 ₹1,174 +1.1% ₹1,089 ₹1,591
TITAN MID ₹4,187 ₹4,088 +2.4% ₹3,930 ₹4,303
TECHM MID ₹1,500 ₹1,460 +2.7% ₹1,320 ₹1,587
BAJAJ-AUTO MID ₹10,180 ₹9,796 +3.8% ₹8,855 ₹9,931
SUNPHARMA MID ₹1,792 ₹1,718 +4.1% ₹1,666 ₹1,823
CIPLA MID ₹1,386 ₹1,324 +4.5% ₹1,267 ₹1,471
NESTLEIND MID ₹1,400 ₹1,306 +6.7% ₹1,166 ₹1,329
COALINDIA MID ₹464.7 ₹431.3 +7.2% ₹415.5 ₹464.6
APOLLOHOSP MID ₹8,355 ₹7,751 +7.2% ₹6,998 ₹7,827
GRASIM MID ₹3,060 ₹2,832 +7.4% ₹2,703 ₹2,968
ASIANPAINT MID ₹2,655 ₹2,424 +8.7% ₹2,349 ₹2,798
TMPV MID ₹388.5 ₹351.0 +9.6% ₹335.4 ₹381.5
HINDALCO MID ₹1,053 ₹932.7 +11.4% ₹830.6 ₹1,031
ADANIPORTS Q5 ₹1,796 ₹1,376 +23.4% ₹1,322 ₹1,605
ADANIENT Q5 ₹2,965 ₹2,232 +24.7% ₹1,788 ₹2,338
Nifty 50 sector stress map, 08 Jun 2026
Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate
+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate
+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.

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