The index is -11.7% from its 6-month POC.
20 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 6 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.
View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →
Nifty closed at 23,104 — 11.7% below the 6M POC (25,812), printing Q1_DEEP. Iran-Israel escalation drove a -0.7% session, with Wipro (-5.6%), Indigo (-2.6%) and IT bearing most of the bleed. 20 of 49 large-caps oversold (6 Q1_DEEP + 14 Q1), with INDIGO and WIPRO joining intraday and ONGC dropping out. RBI's Jun 5 MPC (5.25%, neutral) is already priced. Structurally this is the deepest broad-tape Q1_DEEP this cycle, but the live geopolitical binary penalises fresh exposure.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP
Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.
| # | Stock | Signal | Setup | Spot | 6M POC | % from POC | Upside to POC | Value area (VAL–VAH) | Hist 60d hit | Hist 60d ret | Opt liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TCS | Q1 · DEEP | STRONG | ₹2,155 | ₹3,218 | -49.3% | +49.3% | 2,437.7 – 3,354.3 | 54% | +1.7% | HIGH |
| 2 | HCLTECH | Q1 · DEEP | STRONG | ₹1,151 | ₹1,665 | -44.7% | +44.7% | 1,350.5 – 1,782.0 | 67% | +7.9% | MED |
| 3 | HDFCBANK | Q1 · DEEP | STRONG | ₹738.4 | ₹925.9 | -25.4% | +25.4% | 763.4 – 956.7 | 66% | +4.7% | HIGH |
| 4 | SBILIFE | Q1 · DEEP | LOW | ₹1,768 | ₹2,017 | -14.1% | +14.1% | 1,871.7 – 2,103.8 | 74% | +7.4% | MED |
| 5 | ICICIBANK | Q1 · DEEP | STRONG | ₹1,250 | ₹1,364 | -9.1% | +9.1% | 1,272.3 – 1,436.3 | 70% | +6.7% | HIGH |
| 6 | BEL | Q1 · DEEP | MODERATE | ₹412.0 | ₹439.0 | -6.6% | +6.6% | 409.1 – 450.1 | 51% | +2.1% | LOW |
| 7 | INDIGO | Q1 | — | ₹4,375 | ₹4,948 | -13.1% | +13.1% | 4,292.4 – 5,031.2 | 50% | +3.2% | LOW |
| 8 | WIPRO | Q1 | — | ₹181.7 | ₹203.5 | -12.0% | +12.0% | 182.6 – 235.5 | 48% | +1.1% | MED |
| 9 | SHRIRAMFIN | Q1 | — | ₹894.4 | ₹1,000 | -11.8% | +11.8% | 921.1 – 1,049.4 | 68% | +9.1% | LOW |
| 10 | RELIANCE | Q1 | MODERATE | ₹1,263 | ₹1,401 | -11.0% | +11.0% | 1,330.9 – 1,460.1 | 75% | +10.3% | HIGH |
| 11 | HINDUNILVR | Q1 | — | ₹2,110 | ₹2,311 | -9.5% | +9.5% | 2,196.4 – 2,429.9 | 68% | +4.3% | HIGH |
| 12 | SBIN | Q1 | — | ₹980.0 | ₹1,068 | -9.0% | +9.0% | 970.4 – 1,114.3 | 83% | +9.1% | HIGH |
| 13 | ULTRACEMCO | Q1 | — | ₹10,770 | ₹11,694 | -8.6% | +8.6% | 10,915.1 – 12,473.1 | 76% | +7.6% | MED |
| 14 | TATACONSUM | Q1 | — | ₹1,106 | ₹1,180 | -6.6% | +6.6% | 1,100.9 – 1,202.7 | 78% | +9.9% | LOW |
| 15 | BAJAJFINSV | Q1 | — | ₹1,666 | ₹1,773 | -6.4% | +6.4% | 1,626.9 – 2,004.8 | 72% | +13.6% | MED |
| 16 | ITC | Q1 | — | ₹280.0 | ₹296.2 | -5.8% | +5.8% | 287.2 – 322.3 | 62% | +3.0% | HIGH |
| 17 | M&M | Q1 | — | ₹2,970 | ₹3,131 | -5.4% | +5.4% | 2,939.0 – 3,541.5 | 61% | +8.8% | LOW |
| 18 | LT | Q1 | — | ₹3,870 | ₹4,054 | -4.7% | +4.7% | 3,821.3 – 4,190.1 | 69% | +4.5% | HIGH |
| 19 | POWERGRID | Q1 | — | ₹290.6 | ₹300.4 | -3.4% | +3.4% | 280.9 – 320.4 | 58% | +2.8% | MED |
| 20 | NTPC | Q1 | — | ₹360.9 | ₹367.3 | -1.8% | +1.8% | 356.2 – 405.1 | 64% | +3.8% | MED |
Today's read on the deepest setups
Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.
Events on the radar
Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.
| Stock | Event | Date | Type | Magnitude | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NIFTY | Iran-Israel escalation (live) | Jun 8 onwards | Geopolitical | LARGE | Risk-off tape; option IVs rising; defer fresh opens until binary resolves. |
| TATACONSUM | 63rd AGM | Jun 10 | AGM | SMALL | Dividend ex-date already passed (May 25); AGM tone watches consumer-volume narrative. |
| HDFCBANK | Ex-dividend ₹13 (record Jun 19) | ~Jun 18 | Dividend | SMALL | 1.76% of price; net spread hit ~₹2-5/share; mostly priced in. |
| RELIANCE | 49th AGM + Jio IPO update | Jun 19 | AGM | MEDIUM-LARGE | Material catalyst — Jio IPO clarity moves the stock either way. |
| INDIGO | 6 international routes suspended | Jul 1 - Sep 30 | Operational | MEDIUM | Bearish near-term; FY26 net loss ₹2,392 cr backdrop. |
| BEL | QRSAM contract signing | ~Jul 2026 | Order | LARGE | Order-book accretion catalyst; needs option liquidity to monetise. |
Full Nifty 50 scan
Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.
Show all 50 names
| Stock | Signal | Spot | 6M POC | % from POC | VAL | VAH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCS | Q1 · DEEP | ₹2,155 | ₹3,218 | -49.3% | ₹2,438 | ₹3,354 |
| HCLTECH | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,151 | ₹1,665 | -44.7% | ₹1,351 | ₹1,782 |
| HDFCBANK | Q1 · DEEP | ₹738.4 | ₹925.9 | -25.4% | ₹763.4 | ₹956.7 |
| ETERNAL | MID | ₹247.4 | ₹284.9 | -15.1% | ₹245.6 | ₹299.7 |
| SBILIFE | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,768 | ₹2,017 | -14.1% | ₹1,872 | ₹2,104 |
| INDIGO | Q1 | ₹4,375 | ₹4,948 | -13.1% | ₹4,292 | ₹5,031 |
| WIPRO | Q1 | ₹181.7 | ₹203.5 | -12.0% | ₹182.6 | ₹235.5 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | Q1 | ₹894.4 | ₹1,000 | -11.8% | ₹921.1 | ₹1,049 |
| RELIANCE | Q1 | ₹1,263 | ₹1,401 | -11.0% | ₹1,331 | ₹1,460 |
| HINDUNILVR | Q1 | ₹2,110 | ₹2,311 | -9.5% | ₹2,196 | ₹2,430 |
| ICICIBANK | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,250 | ₹1,364 | -9.1% | ₹1,272 | ₹1,436 |
| SBIN | Q1 | ₹980.0 | ₹1,068 | -9.0% | ₹970.4 | ₹1,114 |
| ULTRACEMCO | Q1 | ₹10,770 | ₹11,694 | -8.6% | ₹10,915 | ₹12,473 |
| HDFCLIFE | MID | ₹563.0 | ₹604.3 | -7.3% | ₹555.1 | ₹727.9 |
| TATACONSUM | Q1 | ₹1,106 | ₹1,180 | -6.6% | ₹1,101 | ₹1,203 |
| BEL | Q1 · DEEP | ₹412.0 | ₹439.0 | -6.6% | ₹409.1 | ₹450.1 |
| BAJAJFINSV | Q1 | ₹1,666 | ₹1,773 | -6.4% | ₹1,627 | ₹2,005 |
| JIOFIN | MID | ₹228.2 | ₹242.3 | -6.2% | ₹227.3 | ₹265.8 |
| ITC | Q1 | ₹280.0 | ₹296.2 | -5.8% | ₹287.2 | ₹322.3 |
| BAJFINANCE | MID | ₹870.0 | ₹917.6 | -5.5% | ₹891.3 | ₹1,012 |
| M&M | Q1 | ₹2,970 | ₹3,131 | -5.4% | ₹2,939 | ₹3,542 |
| LT | Q1 | ₹3,870 | ₹4,054 | -4.7% | ₹3,821 | ₹4,190 |
| TATASTEEL | MID | ₹202.0 | ₹210.2 | -4.1% | ₹190.0 | ₹217.7 |
| POWERGRID | Q1 | ₹290.6 | ₹300.4 | -3.4% | ₹280.9 | ₹320.4 |
| NTPC | Q1 | ₹360.9 | ₹367.3 | -1.8% | ₹356.2 | ₹405.1 |
| EICHERMOT | MID | ₹7,031 | ₹7,120 | -1.3% | ₹6,860 | ₹7,422 |
| JSWSTEEL | MID | ₹1,258 | ₹1,272 | -1.1% | ₹1,170 | ₹1,301 |
| MARUTI | MID | ₹12,890 | ₹13,020 | -1.0% | ₹12,243 | ₹15,101 |
| BHARTIARTL | MID | ₹1,820 | ₹1,832 | -0.6% | ₹1,756 | ₹2,003 |
| MAXHEALTH | MID | ₹1,008 | ₹1,014 | -0.6% | ₹954.9 | ₹1,061 |
| KOTAKBANK | MID | ₹376.9 | ₹378.9 | -0.5% | ₹345.5 | ₹422.5 |
| TRENT | MID | ₹2,712 | ₹2,725 | -0.5% | ₹2,547 | ₹2,888 |
| AXISBANK | MID | ₹1,267 | ₹1,271 | -0.3% | ₹1,222 | ₹1,351 |
| ONGC | MID | ₹264.6 | ₹264.9 | -0.1% | ₹259.0 | ₹298.2 |
| DRREDDY | MID | ₹1,275 | ₹1,271 | +0.4% | ₹1,240 | ₹1,334 |
| INFY | MID | ₹1,187 | ₹1,174 | +1.1% | ₹1,089 | ₹1,591 |
| TITAN | MID | ₹4,187 | ₹4,088 | +2.4% | ₹3,930 | ₹4,303 |
| TECHM | MID | ₹1,500 | ₹1,460 | +2.7% | ₹1,320 | ₹1,587 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | MID | ₹10,180 | ₹9,796 | +3.8% | ₹8,855 | ₹9,931 |
| SUNPHARMA | MID | ₹1,792 | ₹1,718 | +4.1% | ₹1,666 | ₹1,823 |
| CIPLA | MID | ₹1,386 | ₹1,324 | +4.5% | ₹1,267 | ₹1,471 |
| NESTLEIND | MID | ₹1,400 | ₹1,306 | +6.7% | ₹1,166 | ₹1,329 |
| COALINDIA | MID | ₹464.7 | ₹431.3 | +7.2% | ₹415.5 | ₹464.6 |
| APOLLOHOSP | MID | ₹8,355 | ₹7,751 | +7.2% | ₹6,998 | ₹7,827 |
| GRASIM | MID | ₹3,060 | ₹2,832 | +7.4% | ₹2,703 | ₹2,968 |
| ASIANPAINT | MID | ₹2,655 | ₹2,424 | +8.7% | ₹2,349 | ₹2,798 |
| TMPV | MID | ₹388.5 | ₹351.0 | +9.6% | ₹335.4 | ₹381.5 |
| HINDALCO | MID | ₹1,053 | ₹932.7 | +11.4% | ₹830.6 | ₹1,031 |
| ADANIPORTS | Q5 | ₹1,796 | ₹1,376 | +23.4% | ₹1,322 | ₹1,605 |
| ADANIENT | Q5 | ₹2,965 | ₹2,232 | +24.7% | ₹1,788 | ₹2,338 |

How to read this
A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.
POC — Point of Control
The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.
Value Area (VAL–VAH)
The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.
Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals
Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.
Q1·DEEP edge
From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.
Q1 edge
Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.
What this is not
This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.
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