The index is -10.5% from its 6-month POC.
19 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 5 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.
View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →
Nifty closed 23,257.75 - 10.5% below the 6M POC of 25,703, still in Q1_DEEP zone. The index bounced ~+0.6% off the morning low intraday. Breadth: 19 of 49 large-caps oversold (5 Q1_DEEP + 14 Q1). ICICIBANK and HINDUNILVR lifted out of Q1_DEEP into Q1 on the rally. RBI MPC held the repo at 5.25% (neutral) last week. TCS held its 31st AGM today (procedural; no surprise — final dividend Rs 31 was the agenda item).

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP
Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.
| # | Stock | Signal | Setup | Spot | 6M POC | % from POC | Upside to POC | Value area (VAL–VAH) | Hist 60d hit | Hist 60d ret | Opt liq |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TCS | Q1 · DEEP | STRONG | ₹2,152 | ₹3,219 | -49.6% | +49.6% | 2,434.7 – 3,353.1 | 54% | +1.7% | HIGH |
| 2 | HCLTECH | Q1 · DEEP | STRONG | ₹1,148 | ₹1,666 | -45.1% | +45.1% | 1,349.6 – 1,782.3 | 67% | +7.9% | MED |
| 3 | HDFCBANK | Q1 · DEEP | STRONG | ₹739.7 | ₹924.9 | -25.0% | +25.0% | 763.9 – 967.2 | 66% | +4.7% | HIGH |
| 4 | SBILIFE | Q1 · DEEP | STRONG | ₹1,769 | ₹2,017 | -14.0% | +14.0% | 1,867.6 – 2,103.3 | 74% | +7.4% | MED |
| 5 | BEL | Q1 · DEEP | — | ₹412.6 | ₹439.0 | -6.4% | +6.4% | 410.0 – 450.1 | 51% | +2.1% | LOW |
| 6 | WIPRO | Q1 | — | ₹181.9 | ₹203.5 | -11.9% | +11.9% | 180.6 – 234.7 | 48% | +1.1% | MED |
| 7 | HINDUNILVR | Q1 | MODERATE | ₹2,134 | ₹2,370 | -11.0% | +11.0% | 2,191.8 – 2,429.7 | 68% | +4.3% | HIGH |
| 8 | RELIANCE | Q1 | MODERATE | ₹1,272 | ₹1,401 | -10.1% | +10.1% | 1,330.5 – 1,459.7 | 75% | +10.3% | HIGH |
| 9 | SHRIRAMFIN | Q1 | — | ₹912.1 | ₹1,000 | -9.7% | +9.7% | 937.3 – 1,069.6 | 68% | +9.1% | LOW |
| 10 | ICICIBANK | Q1 | MODERATE | ₹1,274 | ₹1,365 | -7.2% | +7.2% | 1,270.9 – 1,437.5 | 70% | +6.7% | HIGH |
| 11 | ULTRACEMCO | Q1 | — | ₹10,925 | ₹11,694 | -7.0% | +7.0% | 10,915.1 – 12,496.8 | 76% | +7.6% | MED |
| 12 | TATACONSUM | Q1 | — | ₹1,107 | ₹1,180 | -6.6% | +6.6% | 1,098.6 – 1,202.7 | 78% | +9.9% | LOW |
| 13 | SBIN | Q1 | — | ₹1,004 | ₹1,068 | -6.4% | +6.4% | 970.4 – 1,114.3 | 83% | +9.1% | HIGH |
| 14 | ITC | Q1 | — | ₹280.0 | ₹296.2 | -5.8% | +5.8% | 284.7 – 319.8 | 62% | +3.0% | HIGH |
| 15 | POWERGRID | Q1 | — | ₹285.5 | ₹300.4 | -5.2% | +5.2% | 280.9 – 319.8 | 58% | +2.8% | MED |
| 16 | M&M | Q1 | — | ₹2,998 | ₹3,130 | -4.4% | +4.4% | 2,938.8 – 3,531.6 | 61% | +8.8% | LOW |
| 17 | LT | Q1 | — | ₹3,904 | ₹4,053 | -3.8% | +3.8% | 3,820.9 – 4,189.5 | 69% | +4.5% | HIGH |
| 18 | NTPC | Q1 | — | ₹355.8 | ₹367.3 | -3.2% | +3.2% | 357.0 – 405.1 | 64% | +3.8% | MED |
| 19 | BHARTIARTL | Q1 | — | ₹1,798 | ₹1,832 | -1.9% | +1.9% | 1,755.7 – 2,002.7 | 58% | +4.3% | HIGH |
Today's read on the deepest setups
Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.
Events on the radar
Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.
| Stock | Event | Date | Type | Magnitude | Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCS | 31st AGM (held) | Jun 9 (today) | AGM | MEDIUM | Procedural; no surprise outcome. Stock closed near morning levels. |
| RELIANCE | AGM (Jio-IPO update expected) | Jun 19 | AGM | LARGE | Most-watched AGM of the year; Jio-IPO clarity could re-rate the stock. |
| HINDUNILVR | Ex-dividend Rs 22 | Jun 23 | Dividend | SMALL | ~1% of price - no option-strike adj (threshold >10%); minor pricing nudge. |
| Macro | RBI MPC (next) | Aug 5-7 (TBC) | Macro | LARGE | Outside June and July expiries; no near-term macro catalyst remaining. |
Full Nifty 50 scan
Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.
Show all 50 names
| Stock | Signal | Spot | 6M POC | % from POC | VAL | VAH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TCS | Q1 · DEEP | ₹2,152 | ₹3,219 | -49.6% | ₹2,435 | ₹3,353 |
| HCLTECH | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,148 | ₹1,666 | -45.1% | ₹1,350 | ₹1,782 |
| HDFCBANK | Q1 · DEEP | ₹739.7 | ₹924.9 | -25.0% | ₹763.9 | ₹967.2 |
| ETERNAL | MID | ₹245.5 | ₹284.8 | -16.0% | ₹245.0 | ₹300.1 |
| SBILIFE | Q1 · DEEP | ₹1,769 | ₹2,017 | -14.0% | ₹1,868 | ₹2,103 |
| WIPRO | Q1 | ₹181.9 | ₹203.5 | -11.9% | ₹180.6 | ₹234.7 |
| HINDUNILVR | Q1 | ₹2,134 | ₹2,370 | -11.0% | ₹2,192 | ₹2,430 |
| RELIANCE | Q1 | ₹1,272 | ₹1,401 | -10.1% | ₹1,331 | ₹1,460 |
| SHRIRAMFIN | Q1 | ₹912.1 | ₹1,000 | -9.7% | ₹937.3 | ₹1,070 |
| HDFCLIFE | MID | ₹560.5 | ₹604.3 | -7.8% | ₹555.1 | ₹727.7 |
| ICICIBANK | Q1 | ₹1,274 | ₹1,365 | -7.2% | ₹1,271 | ₹1,437 |
| ULTRACEMCO | Q1 | ₹10,925 | ₹11,694 | -7.0% | ₹10,915 | ₹12,497 |
| TATACONSUM | Q1 | ₹1,107 | ₹1,180 | -6.6% | ₹1,099 | ₹1,203 |
| BEL | Q1 · DEEP | ₹412.6 | ₹439.0 | -6.4% | ₹410.0 | ₹450.1 |
| SBIN | Q1 | ₹1,004 | ₹1,068 | -6.4% | ₹970.4 | ₹1,114 |
| ITC | Q1 | ₹280.0 | ₹296.2 | -5.8% | ₹284.7 | ₹319.8 |
| POWERGRID | Q1 | ₹285.5 | ₹300.4 | -5.2% | ₹280.9 | ₹319.8 |
| BAJAJFINSV | MID | ₹1,690 | ₹1,773 | -4.9% | ₹1,629 | ₹2,003 |
| M&M | Q1 | ₹2,998 | ₹3,130 | -4.4% | ₹2,939 | ₹3,532 |
| LT | Q1 | ₹3,904 | ₹4,053 | -3.8% | ₹3,821 | ₹4,190 |
| BAJFINANCE | MID | ₹886.9 | ₹918.4 | -3.6% | ₹890.2 | ₹1,010 |
| JIOFIN | MID | ₹234.2 | ₹242.5 | -3.6% | ₹227.5 | ₹265.5 |
| TATASTEEL | MID | ₹203.5 | ₹210.4 | -3.4% | ₹190.1 | ₹217.6 |
| NTPC | Q1 | ₹355.8 | ₹367.3 | -3.2% | ₹357.0 | ₹405.1 |
| ONGC | MID | ₹259.6 | ₹264.9 | -2.1% | ₹259.0 | ₹297.7 |
| BHARTIARTL | Q1 | ₹1,798 | ₹1,832 | -1.9% | ₹1,756 | ₹2,003 |
| MAXHEALTH | MID | ₹1,003 | ₹1,014 | -1.1% | ₹956.9 | ₹1,061 |
| JSWSTEEL | MID | ₹1,259 | ₹1,272 | -1.0% | ₹1,170 | ₹1,302 |
| DRREDDY | MID | ₹1,272 | ₹1,271 | +0.1% | ₹1,243 | ₹1,337 |
| TITAN | MID | ₹4,100 | ₹4,088 | +0.3% | ₹3,930 | ₹4,303 |
| INFY | MID | ₹1,182 | ₹1,174 | +0.6% | ₹1,089 | ₹1,588 |
| MARUTI | MID | ₹13,119 | ₹13,028 | +0.7% | ₹12,256 | ₹15,097 |
| KOTAKBANK | MID | ₹382.1 | ₹378.9 | +0.9% | ₹345.5 | ₹422.0 |
| EICHERMOT | MID | ₹7,185 | ₹7,119 | +0.9% | ₹6,860 | ₹7,422 |
| TRENT | MID | ₹2,767 | ₹2,726 | +1.5% | ₹2,541 | ₹2,883 |
| AXISBANK | MID | ₹1,294 | ₹1,271 | +1.8% | ₹1,222 | ₹1,351 |
| TECHM | MID | ₹1,486 | ₹1,460 | +1.8% | ₹1,320 | ₹1,584 |
| SUNPHARMA | MID | ₹1,780 | ₹1,718 | +3.5% | ₹1,666 | ₹1,823 |
| CIPLA | MID | ₹1,374 | ₹1,324 | +3.7% | ₹1,267 | ₹1,466 |
| BAJAJ-AUTO | MID | ₹10,200 | ₹9,788 | +4.0% | ₹8,845 | ₹9,923 |
| INDIGO | MID | ₹4,532 | ₹4,250 | +6.2% | ₹4,130 | ₹4,868 |
| NESTLEIND | Q5 | ₹1,410 | ₹1,306 | +7.4% | ₹1,163 | ₹1,334 |
| COALINDIA | MID | ₹466.1 | ₹431.1 | +7.5% | ₹416.1 | ₹464.5 |
| GRASIM | MID | ₹3,096 | ₹2,833 | +8.5% | ₹2,692 | ₹2,962 |
| APOLLOHOSP | MID | ₹8,526 | ₹7,752 | +9.1% | ₹6,968 | ₹7,813 |
| TMPV | MID | ₹387.9 | ₹350.8 | +9.6% | ₹335.8 | ₹382.0 |
| ASIANPAINT | Q5 | ₹2,707 | ₹2,424 | +10.5% | ₹2,349 | ₹2,798 |
| HINDALCO | MID | ₹1,075 | ₹932.9 | +13.2% | ₹832.5 | ₹1,031 |
| ADANIPORTS | Q5 | ₹1,825 | ₹1,376 | +24.6% | ₹1,313 | ₹1,605 |
| ADANIENT | Q5 | ₹2,974 | ₹2,232 | +24.9% | ₹1,775 | ₹2,369 |

How to read this
A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.
POC — Point of Control
The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.
Value Area (VAL–VAH)
The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.
Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals
Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.
Q1·DEEP edge
From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.
Q1 edge
Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.
What this is not
This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.
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