Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -10.5% from its 6-month POC.

19 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 5 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 09 Jun 2026 close (IST)
Last updated 09 Jun 2026, 16:59 IST
📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →
Nifty 50 spot
23,257.8
last close
6-month POC
25,703.1
fair-value anchor
Distance from POC
-10.5%
deeply oversold
Oversold names
19 / 50
5 deeply oversold

View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →

📊 Today's read

Nifty closed 23,257.75 - 10.5% below the 6M POC of 25,703, still in Q1_DEEP zone. The index bounced ~+0.6% off the morning low intraday. Breadth: 19 of 49 large-caps oversold (5 Q1_DEEP + 14 Q1). ICICIBANK and HINDUNILVR lifted out of Q1_DEEP into Q1 on the rally. RBI MPC held the repo at 5.25% (neutral) last week. TCS held its 31st AGM today (procedural; no surprise — final dividend Rs 31 was the agenda item).

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 09 Jun 2026
Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#StockSignalSetupSpot6M POC % from POCUpside to POCValue area (VAL–VAH) Hist 60d hitHist 60d retOpt liq
1 TCS Q1 · DEEP STRONG ₹2,152 ₹3,219 -49.6% +49.6% 2,434.7 – 3,353.1 54% +1.7% HIGH
2 HCLTECH Q1 · DEEP STRONG ₹1,148 ₹1,666 -45.1% +45.1% 1,349.6 – 1,782.3 67% +7.9% MED
3 HDFCBANK Q1 · DEEP STRONG ₹739.7 ₹924.9 -25.0% +25.0% 763.9 – 967.2 66% +4.7% HIGH
4 SBILIFE Q1 · DEEP STRONG ₹1,769 ₹2,017 -14.0% +14.0% 1,867.6 – 2,103.3 74% +7.4% MED
5 BEL Q1 · DEEP — ₹412.6 ₹439.0 -6.4% +6.4% 410.0 – 450.1 51% +2.1% LOW
6 WIPRO Q1 — ₹181.9 ₹203.5 -11.9% +11.9% 180.6 – 234.7 48% +1.1% MED
7 HINDUNILVR Q1 MODERATE ₹2,134 ₹2,370 -11.0% +11.0% 2,191.8 – 2,429.7 68% +4.3% HIGH
8 RELIANCE Q1 MODERATE ₹1,272 ₹1,401 -10.1% +10.1% 1,330.5 – 1,459.7 75% +10.3% HIGH
9 SHRIRAMFIN Q1 — ₹912.1 ₹1,000 -9.7% +9.7% 937.3 – 1,069.6 68% +9.1% LOW
10 ICICIBANK Q1 MODERATE ₹1,274 ₹1,365 -7.2% +7.2% 1,270.9 – 1,437.5 70% +6.7% HIGH
11 ULTRACEMCO Q1 — ₹10,925 ₹11,694 -7.0% +7.0% 10,915.1 – 12,496.8 76% +7.6% MED
12 TATACONSUM Q1 — ₹1,107 ₹1,180 -6.6% +6.6% 1,098.6 – 1,202.7 78% +9.9% LOW
13 SBIN Q1 — ₹1,004 ₹1,068 -6.4% +6.4% 970.4 – 1,114.3 83% +9.1% HIGH
14 ITC Q1 — ₹280.0 ₹296.2 -5.8% +5.8% 284.7 – 319.8 62% +3.0% HIGH
15 POWERGRID Q1 — ₹285.5 ₹300.4 -5.2% +5.2% 280.9 – 319.8 58% +2.8% MED
16 M&M Q1 — ₹2,998 ₹3,130 -4.4% +4.4% 2,938.8 – 3,531.6 61% +8.8% LOW
17 LT Q1 — ₹3,904 ₹4,053 -3.8% +3.8% 3,820.9 – 4,189.5 69% +4.5% HIGH
18 NTPC Q1 — ₹355.8 ₹367.3 -3.2% +3.2% 357.0 – 405.1 64% +3.8% MED
19 BHARTIARTL Q1 — ₹1,798 ₹1,832 -1.9% +1.9% 1,755.7 – 2,002.7 58% +4.3% HIGH

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

TCSSTRONG
Structure: Q1_DEEP at -49.6% from 6M POC — the deepest dislocation in the universe. Tier-default STRONG; hist hit 54% at this depth is a TCS-specific quirk.
News: 31st AGM held today (procedural). Final dividend Rs 31, FY26 revenue $30B+, ListEngage + Coastal Cloud acquisitions, HyperVault AI deal with TPG.
Key risk: IT-sector derate continuation; FY27 guidance trajectory.
HCLTECHSTRONG
Structure: Q1_DEEP at -45.0%, hit 67% / fwd +7.9%. Operating margin 17.2% inside guided range.
News: Advanced AI revenue $620M run-rate; saw a +4.4% intraday surge in early June.
Key risk: Broader IT-sector derate or FY27 guide downgrade.
HDFCBANKSTRONG
Structure: Q1_DEEP at -25.0%, hit 66% / fwd +4.7%. Bank-sector derate is the macro driver; no idiosyncratic break.
Key risk: NIM compression in next-quarter results.
SBILIFESTRONG
Structure: Q1_DEEP at -14.0%, hit 74% / fwd +7.4%. Fundamentals strong: NBP +20% Q4 FY26, Retail APE +120% YoY April.
News: Datamatics AI underwriting deal in May.
Key risk: MED option liquidity; broad-market spillover from IT/banks.
RELIANCEMODERATE
Structure: Q1 (non-deep) at -10.1% - deep for the tier. Hit 75% / fwd +10.3%. Jio Platforms FY26 PAT past Rs 30,000 cr (+15% YoY).
News: AGM Jun 19 - virtual format. Jio-IPO clarity is the most-watched line.
Key risk: AGM is a binary catalyst in the hold window.
HINDUNILVRMODERATE
Structure: Stepped down from Q1_DEEP to Q1 on the intraday bounce (-11.05%). Still on-thesis; hit 68% / fwd +4.3%.
News: Ex-dividend Rs 22 on Jun 23 (~1% of price - no NSE strike adj). Horlicks Milkshake launch.
Key risk: FMCG valuation derate continuation.
ICICIBANKMODERATE
Structure: Stepped down from Q1_DEEP to Q1 on the intraday rally (-7.2%). Hit 70.5% / fwd +6.7% - cleanest of the private-bank setups statistically.
News: SEBI warning letter Jun 1 for VRR custody violation - admonishment, not material penalty.
Key risk: A second regulatory action would shift the read; single warning is noise.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

StockEventDateTypeMagnitude Impact
TCS31st AGM (held)Jun 9 (today)AGMMEDIUMProcedural; no surprise outcome. Stock closed near morning levels.
RELIANCEAGM (Jio-IPO update expected)Jun 19AGMLARGEMost-watched AGM of the year; Jio-IPO clarity could re-rate the stock.
HINDUNILVREx-dividend Rs 22Jun 23DividendSMALL~1% of price - no option-strike adj (threshold >10%); minor pricing nudge.
MacroRBI MPC (next)Aug 5-7 (TBC)MacroLARGEOutside June and July expiries; no near-term macro catalyst remaining.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names
StockSignalSpot6M POC % from POCVALVAH
TCS Q1 · DEEP ₹2,152 ₹3,219 -49.6% ₹2,435 ₹3,353
HCLTECH Q1 · DEEP ₹1,148 ₹1,666 -45.1% ₹1,350 ₹1,782
HDFCBANK Q1 · DEEP ₹739.7 ₹924.9 -25.0% ₹763.9 ₹967.2
ETERNAL MID ₹245.5 ₹284.8 -16.0% ₹245.0 ₹300.1
SBILIFE Q1 · DEEP ₹1,769 ₹2,017 -14.0% ₹1,868 ₹2,103
WIPRO Q1 ₹181.9 ₹203.5 -11.9% ₹180.6 ₹234.7
HINDUNILVR Q1 ₹2,134 ₹2,370 -11.0% ₹2,192 ₹2,430
RELIANCE Q1 ₹1,272 ₹1,401 -10.1% ₹1,331 ₹1,460
SHRIRAMFIN Q1 ₹912.1 ₹1,000 -9.7% ₹937.3 ₹1,070
HDFCLIFE MID ₹560.5 ₹604.3 -7.8% ₹555.1 ₹727.7
ICICIBANK Q1 ₹1,274 ₹1,365 -7.2% ₹1,271 ₹1,437
ULTRACEMCO Q1 ₹10,925 ₹11,694 -7.0% ₹10,915 ₹12,497
TATACONSUM Q1 ₹1,107 ₹1,180 -6.6% ₹1,099 ₹1,203
BEL Q1 · DEEP ₹412.6 ₹439.0 -6.4% ₹410.0 ₹450.1
SBIN Q1 ₹1,004 ₹1,068 -6.4% ₹970.4 ₹1,114
ITC Q1 ₹280.0 ₹296.2 -5.8% ₹284.7 ₹319.8
POWERGRID Q1 ₹285.5 ₹300.4 -5.2% ₹280.9 ₹319.8
BAJAJFINSV MID ₹1,690 ₹1,773 -4.9% ₹1,629 ₹2,003
M&M Q1 ₹2,998 ₹3,130 -4.4% ₹2,939 ₹3,532
LT Q1 ₹3,904 ₹4,053 -3.8% ₹3,821 ₹4,190
BAJFINANCE MID ₹886.9 ₹918.4 -3.6% ₹890.2 ₹1,010
JIOFIN MID ₹234.2 ₹242.5 -3.6% ₹227.5 ₹265.5
TATASTEEL MID ₹203.5 ₹210.4 -3.4% ₹190.1 ₹217.6
NTPC Q1 ₹355.8 ₹367.3 -3.2% ₹357.0 ₹405.1
ONGC MID ₹259.6 ₹264.9 -2.1% ₹259.0 ₹297.7
BHARTIARTL Q1 ₹1,798 ₹1,832 -1.9% ₹1,756 ₹2,003
MAXHEALTH MID ₹1,003 ₹1,014 -1.1% ₹956.9 ₹1,061
JSWSTEEL MID ₹1,259 ₹1,272 -1.0% ₹1,170 ₹1,302
DRREDDY MID ₹1,272 ₹1,271 +0.1% ₹1,243 ₹1,337
TITAN MID ₹4,100 ₹4,088 +0.3% ₹3,930 ₹4,303
INFY MID ₹1,182 ₹1,174 +0.6% ₹1,089 ₹1,588
MARUTI MID ₹13,119 ₹13,028 +0.7% ₹12,256 ₹15,097
KOTAKBANK MID ₹382.1 ₹378.9 +0.9% ₹345.5 ₹422.0
EICHERMOT MID ₹7,185 ₹7,119 +0.9% ₹6,860 ₹7,422
TRENT MID ₹2,767 ₹2,726 +1.5% ₹2,541 ₹2,883
AXISBANK MID ₹1,294 ₹1,271 +1.8% ₹1,222 ₹1,351
TECHM MID ₹1,486 ₹1,460 +1.8% ₹1,320 ₹1,584
SUNPHARMA MID ₹1,780 ₹1,718 +3.5% ₹1,666 ₹1,823
CIPLA MID ₹1,374 ₹1,324 +3.7% ₹1,267 ₹1,466
BAJAJ-AUTO MID ₹10,200 ₹9,788 +4.0% ₹8,845 ₹9,923
INDIGO MID ₹4,532 ₹4,250 +6.2% ₹4,130 ₹4,868
NESTLEIND Q5 ₹1,410 ₹1,306 +7.4% ₹1,163 ₹1,334
COALINDIA MID ₹466.1 ₹431.1 +7.5% ₹416.1 ₹464.5
GRASIM MID ₹3,096 ₹2,833 +8.5% ₹2,692 ₹2,962
APOLLOHOSP MID ₹8,526 ₹7,752 +9.1% ₹6,968 ₹7,813
TMPV MID ₹387.9 ₹350.8 +9.6% ₹335.8 ₹382.0
ASIANPAINT Q5 ₹2,707 ₹2,424 +10.5% ₹2,349 ₹2,798
HINDALCO MID ₹1,075 ₹932.9 +13.2% ₹832.5 ₹1,031
ADANIPORTS Q5 ₹1,825 ₹1,376 +24.6% ₹1,313 ₹1,605
ADANIENT Q5 ₹2,974 ₹2,232 +24.9% ₹1,775 ₹2,369
Nifty 50 sector stress map, 09 Jun 2026
Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate
+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate
+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.

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