Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -10.7% from its 6-month POC.

21 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 3 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 10 Jun 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 10 Jun 2026, 18:07 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,216.1

last close

6-month POC

25,697.9

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

-10.7%

deeply oversold

Oversold names

21 / 50

3 deeply oversold

View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →

📊 Today's read

Nifty at 23,216 sits -10.7% below its 6M POC (25,698) — Q1_DEEP territory. RBI MPC Jun 5 held repo at 5.25%, FIIs net sellers (-₹4,447 cr Jun 5), crude $97-100, USD/INR 95.70. 22 of 50 Nifty names are in Q1 (4 deep, 18 standard). Sector pockets: IT (TCS deepest at -49.5%), private banks (HDFCBANK -23.6%), insurance (SBILIFE -16.7%). Tape says oversold-and-grinding, not capitulation — Q1_DEEP is the structurally bullish 60d mean-reversion setup the backtest validates (~75-80% hit / +11% mean fwd60d on 49-stock × 5y).

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 10 Jun 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	TCS	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹2,152	₹3,217	-49.5%	+49.5%	2,434.1 – 3,353.3	53%	+1.5%	HIGH
2	HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹747.8	₹924.6	-23.6%	+23.6%	764.6 – 966.7	65%	+4.4%	HIGH
3	SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,728	₹2,016	-16.7%	+16.7%	1,863.3 – 2,102.4	74%	+7.5%	MED
4	WIPRO	Q1	—	₹178.6	₹203.4	-13.9%	+13.9%	178.5 – 234.1	48%	+1.1%	MED
5	SHRIRAMFIN	Q1	—	₹897.8	₹1,000	-11.4%	+11.4%	937.2 – 1,069.5	68%	+9.2%	LOW
6	RELIANCE	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,258	₹1,402	-11.4%	+11.4%	1,328.8 – 1,457.8	72%	+9.7%	HIGH
7	HDFCLIFE	Q1	—	₹550.1	₹604.2	-9.8%	+9.8%	547.5 – 726.8	48%	+3.0%	MED
8	ULTRACEMCO	Q1	—	₹10,860	₹11,694	-7.7%	+7.7%	10,915.1 – 12,496.8	76%	+7.4%	MED
9	SBIN	Q1	—	₹1,001	₹1,068	-6.8%	+6.8%	970.4 – 1,114.3	82%	+8.7%	HIGH
10	BAJAJFINSV	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,664	₹1,773	-6.5%	+6.5%	1,628.4 – 2,001.7	71%	+13.3%	MED
11	TATACONSUM	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,111	₹1,180	-6.2%	+6.2%	1,098.6 – 1,202.7	78%	+9.9%	LOW
12	M&M	Q1	—	₹2,950	₹3,129	-6.1%	+6.1%	2,938.7 – 3,516.1	60%	+8.8%	LOW
13	TATASTEEL	Q1	—	₹198.8	₹210.2	-5.8%	+5.8%	190.2 – 217.4	64%	+7.1%	MED
14	HINDUNILVR	Q1	—	₹2,172	₹2,290	-5.4%	+5.4%	2,184.8 – 2,427.1	68%	+4.3%	HIGH
15	ONGC	Q1	—	₹252.0	₹264.9	-5.1%	+5.1%	258.5 – 297.7	59%	+3.9%	MED
16	POWERGRID	Q1	—	₹287.0	₹300.4	-4.7%	+4.7%	280.9 – 319.8	58%	+2.8%	MED
17	ITC	Q1	—	₹283.3	₹296.2	-4.6%	+4.6%	284.7 – 319.8	60%	+2.6%	HIGH
18	NTPC	Q1	—	₹351.7	₹367.3	-4.4%	+4.4%	357.0 – 405.1	63%	+3.9%	MED
19	ICICIBANK	Q1	—	₹1,293	₹1,349	-4.3%	+4.3%	1,270.8 – 1,437.3	69%	+6.3%	HIGH
20	LT	Q1	—	₹3,931	₹4,057	-3.2%	+3.2%	3,816.6 – 4,184.9	70%	+4.6%	HIGH
21	BHARTIARTL	Q1	—	₹1,776	₹1,831	-3.1%	+3.1%	1,759.4 – 2,001.7	56%	+3.9%	HIGH

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

TCSSTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP at -49.5% from 6M POC ₹3,217 — deepest single-stock dislocation in the universe. Hist Q1_DEEP hit 53% / fwd60d +1.5% is unusually weak (the IT sector has structurally broken its historical mean-reversion pattern, third straight year of TCS de-rating).

News: 31st AGM Jun 9 passed all resolutions; market cap fell below $100B for the first time post-2020 peak. Q1 FY27 results mid-July are the next catalyst.

Key risk: Soft FY27 guidance (1.5-3.5% CC growth floor) at mid-July results could extend the de-rate.

HDFCBANKSTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP at -23.6% from 6M POC ₹925. Hist Q1_DEEP edge 65% / fwd60d +4.4% is intact.

News: Q4 PAT +8% YoY ₹20,350 cr, ₹13 dividend paid Apr 18. Merger integration with HDFC continues; margin pressure normalising.

Key risk: Further margin compression as HDFC merger digests; banking-sector flow concentration.

SBILIFESTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP at -16.7% from 6M POC ₹2,016. Hist Q1_DEEP 74% / fwd60d +7.5%.

News: Q4 PAT -2.9% to ₹790 cr but APE +16%. VNB margin contracted 210 bps — sectoral pressure across private life insurers.

Key risk: VNB-margin compression continues; sectoral derate risk on life-insurance multiples.

NIFTYSTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP at -10.7% from 6M POC 25,698. Index-level mean-reversion setup; the macro risk-off backdrop (FII selling, crude, USD/INR) is the cause of the dislocation.

News: RBI Jun 5 held 5.25%; status quo with measures to attract foreign inflows. Crude $97-100, WPI 8.3%.

Key risk: Further FII selling, crude shock, or USD/INR break >96 extends the drag.

RELIANCEMODERATE

Structure: Q1 at -11.4% from 6M POC ₹1,402. Hist Q1 hit 72% / fwd60d +9.7% is high-edge.

News: 49th AGM Jun 19, 2026 — Jio IPO timeline is the most-watched catalyst. FY26 final ₹6 dividend paid Jun 5. Jio Platforms FY26 PAT >₹30,000 cr (+15%).

Key risk: Binary AGM outcome — Jio IPO timeline disappointment is the asymmetric downside; conviction lifts MODERATE → STRONG only post-AGM.

BAJAJFINSVMODERATE

Structure: Q1 at -6.5% from 6M POC ₹1,773. Highest historical edge in the unheld set (hist hit 71% / fwd60d +13.3%). Bimodal POC flag.

News: Q4 PAT +5%, ₹1.50 FY26 dividend (incl. ₹0.20 Bajaj-100yr special), record date Jun 30. AGM Jul 31.

Key risk: Bimodal POC means the structure is fragile to small price moves; LOW option liquidity blocks clean spread expression.

TATACONSUMMODERATE

Structure: Q1 at -6.2% from 6M POC ₹1,180. Hist hit 78% / fwd60d +9.9% is the highest hit-rate edge among unheld Q1 names.

News: AGM today Jun 10; ₹10 dividend, payment from Jun 15. Q4 PBT +32%. Jefferies BUY, target ₹1,450 (vs spot ₹1,124).

Key risk: LOW option liquidity is the binding constraint on a tradeable spread.

HCLTECHBROKEN

Structure: Signal moved Q1_DEEP → MID via the bimodal POC tiebreak fix (deployed today 2026-06-10). Two near-tied TPO peaks; the tiebreak picked the closer-to-spot peak (₹1,201), shrinking the gap to -6.2%. This is a clean signal break, NOT a corporate-action artifact — the setup the original Q1_DEEP fired on is no longer the same shape.

News: FY26 closed strong (revenue ₹130,144 cr, +11.2%); ₹24 Q4 dividend (93rd consecutive). AI Innovation Zone with Google Cloud launched Jun 8.

Key risk: If the bimodal tiebreak stabilises (POC peaks consolidate to one), HCLTECH could re-enter Q1 in coming sessions — watch the signal column.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
RELIANCE	49th AGM (Jio IPO timeline expected)	Jun 19, 2026	AGM/binary	LARGE	Binary IV event; typically spikes IV on long-dated calls into the print, crushes the day after.
HINDUNILVR	Dividend ex ₹22 (final FY26)	Jun 23, 2026	Dividend	SMALL	~1% of price; both spread legs adjust together so net P&L impact is minor.
HINDUNILVR	93rd AGM	Jun 30, 2026	AGM	SMALL	Informational; no material trade impact.
BAJAJFINSV	Dividend record date (₹1.50 incl. ₹0.20 Bajaj-100yr special)	Jun 30, 2026	Dividend	SMALL	Tiny yield; informational.
SHRIRAMFIN	Dividend ex ₹6	Jul 3, 2026	Dividend	SMALL	Small dividend; informational.
TCS / INFY / WIPRO / HCL	Q1 FY27 results (IT sector)	Mid-Jul 2026	Earnings	LARGE	Tier-1 IT guidance bands tightly clustered at 0-4%. Soft FY27 guide cuts could extend the IT-sector derate; affects JUL-series spreads.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
TCS	Q1 · DEEP	₹2,152	₹3,217	-49.5%	₹2,434	₹3,353
HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹747.8	₹924.6	-23.6%	₹764.6	₹966.7
SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,728	₹2,016	-16.7%	₹1,863	₹2,102
ETERNAL	MID	₹244.8	₹283.6	-15.9%	₹244.9	₹299.9
WIPRO	Q1	₹178.6	₹203.4	-13.9%	₹178.5	₹234.1
SHRIRAMFIN	Q1	₹897.8	₹1,000	-11.4%	₹937.2	₹1,069
RELIANCE	Q1	₹1,258	₹1,402	-11.4%	₹1,329	₹1,458
HDFCLIFE	Q1	₹550.1	₹604.2	-9.8%	₹547.5	₹726.8
ULTRACEMCO	Q1	₹10,860	₹11,694	-7.7%	₹10,915	₹12,497
SBIN	Q1	₹1,001	₹1,068	-6.8%	₹970.4	₹1,114
BAJAJFINSV	Q1	₹1,664	₹1,773	-6.5%	₹1,628	₹2,002
HCLTECH	MID	₹1,131	₹1,201	-6.2%	₹1,103	₹1,619
TATACONSUM	Q1	₹1,111	₹1,180	-6.2%	₹1,099	₹1,203
M&M	Q1	₹2,950	₹3,129	-6.1%	₹2,939	₹3,516
TATASTEEL	Q1	₹198.8	₹210.2	-5.8%	₹190.2	₹217.4
HINDUNILVR	Q1	₹2,172	₹2,290	-5.4%	₹2,185	₹2,427
JIOFIN	MID	₹230.6	₹242.5	-5.2%	₹227.5	₹264.4
ONGC	Q1	₹252.0	₹264.9	-5.1%	₹258.5	₹297.7
POWERGRID	Q1	₹287.0	₹300.4	-4.7%	₹280.9	₹319.8
ITC	Q1	₹283.3	₹296.2	-4.6%	₹284.7	₹319.8
NTPC	Q1	₹351.7	₹367.3	-4.4%	₹357.0	₹405.1
ICICIBANK	Q1	₹1,293	₹1,349	-4.3%	₹1,271	₹1,437
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹885.0	₹918.2	-3.8%	₹869.5	₹993.2
LT	Q1	₹3,931	₹4,057	-3.2%	₹3,817	₹4,185
BHARTIARTL	Q1	₹1,776	₹1,831	-3.1%	₹1,759	₹2,002
TITAN	MID	₹4,040	₹4,086	-1.1%	₹3,937	₹4,293
BEL	MID	₹408.1	₹412.5	-1.1%	₹405.7	₹445.9
MAXHEALTH	MID	₹1,008	₹1,014	-0.6%	₹956.9	₹1,061
MARUTI	MID	₹13,072	₹13,136	-0.5%	₹12,256	₹15,060
INFY	MID	₹1,144	₹1,148	-0.3%	₹1,066	₹1,524
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,275	₹1,271	+0.3%	₹1,240	₹1,337
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,277	₹1,273	+0.4%	₹1,172	₹1,302
TRENT	MID	₹2,747	₹2,732	+0.6%	₹2,547	₹2,889
TECHM	MID	₹1,479	₹1,459	+1.3%	₹1,317	₹1,584
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,220	₹7,119	+1.4%	₹6,860	₹7,421
COALINDIA	MID	₹463.2	₹456.7	+1.4%	₹426.7	₹474.3
KOTAKBANK	MID	₹388.0	₹380.3	+2.0%	₹345.5	₹421.0
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,314	₹1,271	+3.3%	₹1,222	₹1,351
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹10,130	₹9,790	+3.4%	₹8,826	₹9,924
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,787	₹1,718	+3.9%	₹1,666	₹1,823
CIPLA	MID	₹1,387	₹1,326	+4.4%	₹1,267	₹1,463
INDIGO	MID	₹4,525	₹4,249	+6.1%	₹4,120	₹4,865
TMPV	MID	₹381.0	₹350.8	+7.9%	₹335.9	₹382.8
GRASIM	MID	₹3,091	₹2,833	+8.4%	₹2,686	₹2,962
APOLLOHOSP	MID	₹8,480	₹7,746	+8.7%	₹6,946	₹7,821
NESTLEIND	Q5	₹1,438	₹1,306	+9.2%	₹1,161	₹1,376
HINDALCO	MID	₹1,040	₹934.1	+10.2%	₹833.5	₹1,033
ASIANPAINT	Q5	₹2,700	₹2,424	+10.2%	₹2,349	₹2,798
ADANIENT	Q5	₹2,940	₹2,230	+24.2%	₹1,777	₹2,394
ADANIPORTS	Q5	₹1,820	₹1,376	+24.4%	₹1,304	₹1,608

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 10 Jun 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.