Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -1.3% from its 6-month POC.

18 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 4 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 12 Jun 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 12 Jun 2026, 18:03 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,631.8

last close

6-month POC

23,935.6

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

-1.3%

at value (POC)

Oversold names

18 / 50

4 deeply oversold

View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →

📊 Today's read

Nifty closed 23,631.75 (+1.2% intraday, Sensex +1,695 pts) on a Middle East de-escalation risk-on rally — crude sold off, global tape turned. The morning snapshot read Nifty at Q1_DEEP (-10% from 6M POC); by close, the POC itself had migrated down (-7.8% / 20d) and spot rallied to meet it — Nifty has effectively exited the deep-oversold zone into MID at -1.3%. Beneath the index, 4 names remain in Q1_DEEP (TCS, HDFCBANK, SBILIFE, BEL) and 14 in Q1. The deepest pocket is IT/financials: TCS -49% from POC, HDFCBANK -22%, SBILIFE -18% — POC distances that need a real catalyst to close. RBI MPC held at 5.25% / neutral last week; next meeting Aug 3-5, so no near-term policy binary.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 12 Jun 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	TCS	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹2,160	₹3,219	-49.0%	+49.0%	2,428.4 – 3,352.9	53%	+1.5%	HIGH
2	HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹759.4	₹924.6	-21.8%	+21.8%	763.5 – 966.5	65%	+4.4%	HIGH
3	SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,705	₹2,018	-18.4%	+18.4%	1,858.3 – 2,104.0	74%	+7.5%	MED
4	BEL	Q1 · DEEP	LOW	₹407.8	₹438.1	-7.4%	+7.4%	409.9 – 450.1	50%	+1.9%	LOW
5	ETERNAL	Q1	—	₹240.8	₹284.8	-18.3%	+18.3%	244.6 – 300.0	46%	-6.6%	LOW
6	WIPRO	Q1	—	₹180.2	₹203.4	-12.9%	+12.9%	176.4 – 233.6	48%	+1.1%	MED
7	HDFCLIFE	Q1	—	₹549.5	₹603.9	-9.9%	+9.9%	543.0 – 725.6	48%	+3.0%	MED
8	RELIANCE	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,296	₹1,402	-8.1%	+8.1%	1,328.9 – 1,457.8	72%	+9.7%	HIGH
9	ONGC	Q1	—	₹246.9	₹264.9	-7.3%	+7.3%	258.5 – 298.1	59%	+3.9%	MED
10	TATACONSUM	Q1	—	₹1,101	₹1,179	-7.2%	+7.2%	1,098.5 – 1,200.3	78%	+9.9%	LOW
11	HINDUNILVR	Q1	—	₹2,153	₹2,290	-6.4%	+6.4%	2,180.2 – 2,427.0	68%	+4.3%	HIGH
12	TATASTEEL	Q1	—	₹197.8	₹210.3	-6.3%	+6.3%	190.7 – 217.5	64%	+7.1%	MED
13	POWERGRID	Q1	—	₹285.0	₹300.3	-5.4%	+5.4%	280.9 – 319.1	58%	+2.8%	MED
14	ULTRACEMCO	Q1	—	₹11,110	₹11,693	-5.3%	+5.3%	11,339.5 – 12,920.3	76%	+7.4%	MED
15	SBIN	Q1	STRONG	₹1,016	₹1,068	-5.1%	+5.1%	972.5 – 1,114.2	82%	+8.7%	HIGH
16	ITC	Q1	—	₹285.7	₹296.2	-3.7%	+3.7%	284.7 – 319.7	60%	+2.6%	HIGH
17	NTPC	Q1	—	₹354.3	₹367.3	-3.7%	+3.7%	356.2 – 405.0	63%	+3.9%	MED
18	BHARTIARTL	Q1	—	₹1,806	₹1,831	-1.4%	+1.4%	1,755.6 – 1,997.2	56%	+3.9%	HIGH

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

TCSSTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP, gap -49.0% — deepest dislocation in the universe. Historical 60d hit rate on this specific name is only 53% / +1.5% though, so the depth tier overstates the realistic expected move here.

News: Positive deal momentum (Nokian Tyres, Euroclear, Canada Life AI deals in early June; $40B+ FY26 TCV). Soft FY27 guide drove the IT sector derate — stock -30% YTD on sentiment, not deal-loss.

Key risk: Sustained IT-spending slowdown could keep the gap open despite the depth signal.

HDFCBANKSTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP, gap -21.8%, hist hit 65% / fwd60d +4.4%. POC trend20d -7.1% is ordinary drift (NOT a corporate-action artifact).

News: ₹13 final dividend ex-date Jun 19, 2026 (1.7% of spot — small adjustment, not a structural concern).

Key risk: Continued NIM compression in private banking would extend the dip; otherwise post-div mechanics are routine.

SBILIFESTRONG

Structure: Q1_DEEP, gap -18.4%, hist hit 74% / fwd60d +7.5% — the best fwd60d/hit pair in the deep tier today.

News: Q4 FY26 showed NBP +20% with a clear shift to protection products; interim dividend Mar 6 already priced in. No event in the near-term window.

Key risk: Insurance regulator / GST policy surprise — low probability given recent commentary.

SBINSTRONG

Structure: Q1, gap -5.1%, hist hit 82% / fwd60d +8.7% — the top Q1 historical score in today's universe. POC is rising +9.6% / 20d (trending with).

News: ₹17.35 dividend already paid Jun 4 (record date May 16). Q4 results were the dip catalyst — the post-event re-rate seems to be unfolding.

Key risk: Bank-wide asset-quality scare; no specific catalyst on the horizon.

BELLOW

Structure: Q1_DEEP but shallow (-7.4%); hist hit only 50% / fwd60d +1.9%. Depth tier flags it but the historical stat is weak.

News: Strong defence order book (+₹608cr since May 5), Q4 revenue +16%, FY26 PAT growth. Fundamentals are firm; the signal is more depth than structure.

Key risk: Defence order-book lumpiness; needs a fresh catalyst for the gap to close.

RELIANCEMODERATE

Structure: Q1, gap -8.1%, hist hit 72% / fwd60d +9.7%. Reasonable Q1 setup; the AGM next week is the swing factor.

News: 49th AGM Jun 19 — Jio IPO timeline update is the binary. ₹6 final dividend record date Jun 5 already past.

Key risk: AGM disappointment (no Jio IPO date) could extend the dip — binary, mid-window.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
RELIANCE	49th AGM (Jio IPO update)	Jun 19, 2026	AGM	MEDIUM	Binary — a concrete Jio IPO timeline could spark a re-rate; silence keeps the gap open.
HDFCBANK	Final dividend ₹13 ex-date	Jun 19, 2026	Dividend	SMALL	1.7% of spot; routine mechanical drop, no structural read-through.
HINDUNILVR	Final dividend ₹22 record date + 93rd AGM	Jun 23 / Jun 30, 2026	Dividend + AGM	SMALL	1.0% of spot. AGM usually low-impact for HUL.
ULTRACEMCO	Board meeting (Q1 FY27 results)	Jul 20, 2026	Earnings	MEDIUM	Binary — guidance for FY27 cement pricing/volumes.
RBI	MPC (next meeting)	Aug 3-5, 2026	Macro	MEDIUM	Held at 5.25% / neutral in June; next is outside our near-term window.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
TCS	Q1 · DEEP	₹2,160	₹3,219	-49.0%	₹2,428	₹3,353
HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹759.4	₹924.6	-21.8%	₹763.5	₹966.5
SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,705	₹2,018	-18.4%	₹1,858	₹2,104
ETERNAL	Q1	₹240.8	₹284.8	-18.3%	₹244.6	₹300.0
WIPRO	Q1	₹180.2	₹203.4	-12.9%	₹176.4	₹233.6
HDFCLIFE	Q1	₹549.5	₹603.9	-9.9%	₹543.0	₹725.6
HCLTECH	MID	₹1,104	₹1,199	-8.5%	₹1,090	₹1,614
RELIANCE	Q1	₹1,296	₹1,402	-8.1%	₹1,329	₹1,458
BEL	Q1 · DEEP	₹407.8	₹438.1	-7.4%	₹409.9	₹450.1
ONGC	Q1	₹246.9	₹264.9	-7.3%	₹258.5	₹298.1
TATACONSUM	Q1	₹1,101	₹1,179	-7.2%	₹1,099	₹1,200
HINDUNILVR	Q1	₹2,153	₹2,290	-6.4%	₹2,180	₹2,427
TATASTEEL	Q1	₹197.8	₹210.3	-6.3%	₹190.7	₹217.5
POWERGRID	Q1	₹285.0	₹300.3	-5.4%	₹280.9	₹319.1
ULTRACEMCO	Q1	₹11,110	₹11,693	-5.3%	₹11,340	₹12,920
SBIN	Q1	₹1,016	₹1,068	-5.1%	₹972.5	₹1,114
BAJAJFINSV	MID	₹1,692	₹1,776	-4.9%	₹1,625	₹2,000
SHRIRAMFIN	MID	₹958.0	₹1,001	-4.5%	₹935.6	₹1,070
ITC	Q1	₹285.7	₹296.2	-3.7%	₹284.7	₹319.7
NTPC	Q1	₹354.3	₹367.3	-3.7%	₹356.2	₹405.0
INFY	MID	₹1,118	₹1,148	-2.6%	₹1,066	₹1,500
JIOFIN	MID	₹236.3	₹242.4	-2.6%	₹227.0	₹263.2
TECHM	MID	₹1,433	₹1,459	-1.8%	₹1,317	₹1,583
ICICIBANK	MID	₹1,325	₹1,346	-1.6%	₹1,268	₹1,429
BHARTIARTL	Q1	₹1,806	₹1,831	-1.4%	₹1,756	₹1,997
LT	MID	₹4,050	₹4,055	-0.1%	₹3,823	₹4,183
MAXHEALTH	MID	₹1,014	₹1,014	-0.0%	₹958.9	₹1,060
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,273	₹1,271	+0.2%	₹1,243	₹1,337
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹920.0	₹918.0	+0.2%	₹867.5	₹985.4
TRENT	MID	₹2,756	₹2,732	+0.9%	₹2,553	₹2,889
M&M	MID	₹3,040	₹2,997	+1.4%	₹2,938	₹3,500
MARUTI	MID	₹13,350	₹13,133	+1.6%	₹12,256	₹15,052
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,258	₹7,119	+1.9%	₹6,860	₹7,421
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,299	₹1,272	+2.1%	₹1,174	₹1,301
TITAN	MID	₹4,179	₹4,090	+2.1%	₹3,941	₹4,297
COALINDIA	MID	₹443.5	₹431.3	+2.8%	₹419.8	₹465.7
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹10,074	₹9,782	+2.9%	₹8,798	₹9,936
INDIGO	MID	₹4,705	₹4,515	+4.0%	₹4,129	₹4,863
CIPLA	MID	₹1,391	₹1,324	+4.8%	₹1,267	₹1,458
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,807	₹1,718	+4.9%	₹1,666	₹1,823
NESTLEIND	MID	₹1,376	₹1,306	+5.1%	₹1,161	₹1,384
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,353	₹1,270	+6.1%	₹1,224	₹1,352
KOTAKBANK	Q5	₹404.0	₹378.8	+6.2%	₹350.6	₹421.1
GRASIM	MID	₹3,088	₹2,833	+8.3%	₹2,675	₹2,963
APOLLOHOSP	MID	₹8,500	₹7,747	+8.9%	₹6,931	₹7,823
HINDALCO	MID	₹1,029	₹933.0	+9.4%	₹834.0	₹1,034
TMPV	Q5	₹391.0	₹350.9	+10.3%	₹335.9	₹382.9
ASIANPAINT	Q5	₹2,740	₹2,425	+11.5%	₹2,350	₹2,794
ADANIPORTS	Q5	₹1,809	₹1,376	+23.9%	₹1,301	₹1,630
ADANIENT	Q5	₹2,935	₹2,232	+24.0%	₹1,775	₹2,432

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 12 Jun 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.