Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is -0.3% from its 6-month POC.

13 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 3 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 15 Jun 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 15 Jun 2026, 19:08 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,856.5

last close

6-month POC

23,932.1

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

-0.3%

at value (POC)

Oversold names

13 / 50

3 deeply oversold

View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →

📊 Today's read

Nifty sits at 23,856 — just -0.3% from its 6-month POC (23,932), squarely MID. The index has fully mean-reverted off its mid-May deep-oversold low, so the broad-market trade has played out; what's left is stock-specific dislocation, not an index call. Breadth: 13 of 49 names oversold, 3 of them deeply. The dominant near-term catalyst is the US FOMC decision on Jun 16-17 — a binary event the whole tape will pivot on.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 15 Jun 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	TCS	Q1 · DEEP	LOW	₹2,163	₹3,218	-48.8%	+48.8%	2,419.8 – 3,354.1	53%	+1.5%	HIGH
2	HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹777.5	₹925.9	-19.1%	+19.1%	764.2 – 957.6	65%	+4.4%	HIGH
3	SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	MODERATE	₹1,765	₹2,017	-14.3%	+14.3%	1,853.8 – 2,102.3	74%	+7.5%	MED
4	WIPRO	Q1	—	₹181.1	₹203.6	-12.4%	+12.4%	176.2 – 233.4	48%	+1.1%	MED
5	HINDUNILVR	Q1	—	₹2,155	₹2,370	-10.0%	+10.0%	2,177.8 – 2,429.2	68%	+4.3%	HIGH
6	ONGC	Q1	MODERATE	₹243.7	₹264.9	-8.7%	+8.7%	258.5 – 297.7	59%	+3.9%	MED
7	TATACONSUM	Q1	LOW	₹1,099	₹1,180	-7.4%	+7.4%	1,097.3 – 1,201.3	78%	+9.9%	LOW
8	RELIANCE	Q1	LOW	₹1,306	₹1,402	-7.3%	+7.3%	1,328.8 – 1,457.6	72%	+9.7%	HIGH
9	TATASTEEL	Q1	—	₹197.5	₹210.4	-6.5%	+6.5%	190.8 – 217.2	64%	+7.1%	MED
10	NTPC	Q1	—	₹348.3	₹367.3	-5.5%	+5.5%	356.2 – 405.1	63%	+3.9%	MED
11	POWERGRID	Q1	—	₹285.6	₹300.4	-5.2%	+5.2%	280.9 – 318.6	58%	+2.8%	MED
12	SBIN	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,021	₹1,068	-4.6%	+4.6%	974.6 – 1,114.3	82%	+8.7%	HIGH
13	COALINDIA	Q1	—	₹447.5	₹457.3	-2.2%	+2.2%	428.1 – 473.2	58%	+1.4%	MED

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

TCSLOW

Structure: Deepest dislocation in the universe: -48.8% from the 6M POC. No split/bonus — a genuine multi-month IT-sector decline, not a data artifact. But the historical edge at this depth has collapsed to ~53% hit / +1.5% expected 60d move.

News: 52-wk low ~Rs2,110; GenAI-disruption fears and FII outflows weigh, partly offset by new AI partnerships (Anthropic, Oracle).

Key risk: Structural GenAI/IT-derate overhang; the dislocation can persist far longer than a normal mean-reversion setup.

HDFCBANKSTRONG

Structure: -19.1% from the 6M POC (Q1_DEEP), 65% historical hit, +4.4% expected 60d move. Clean structure, HIGH option liquidity.

News: Solid Q4 (PAT +9.1% YoY, GNPA improved to 1.15%). Small ~Rs13 final dividend goes ex ~Jun 19.

Key risk: FOMC risk-off could pressure banks near-term.

SBILIFEMODERATE

Structure: -14.3% from the 6M POC (Q1_DEEP), one of the better historical profiles at 74% hit / +7.5% expected 60d.

News: At a 52-wk low; life-insurance new-business premium growth slowed to a 9-month low across the sector.

Key risk: Sector-wide premium-growth softness could cap the rebound.

SBINMODERATE

Structure: -4.6% from POC (shallow Q1) but the best historical profile in the list: 82% hit / +8.7% expected 60d, with the POC itself rising (+9.6%).

News: Firm FY26 (net profit ~Rs80,000 cr); routine 71st AGM Jun 18.

Key risk: Shallow dislocation — limited distance to the POC.

ONGCMODERATE

Structure: -8.7% from POC (Q1). Modest historical edge (59% / +3.9%) but a clear momentum + structural tailwind.

News: Five straight up sessions; onshore royalty rollback is a structural positive.

Key risk: Crude-price swings dominate the name.

TATACONSUMLOW

Structure: -7.4% from POC but the highest expected 60d move in the Q1 tier (+9.9%, 78% hist hit).

News: Fresh analyst downgrade to Sell (Jun 5) on stretched valuation; option liquidity is thin.

Key risk: Downgrade momentum + poor option liquidity make a clean structure hard.

RELIANCELOW

Structure: -7.3% from POC (Q1), strong historical profile (72% / +9.7%).

News: Fresh 52-wk low (~Rs1,254); 49th AGM Jun 19 is a binary catalyst (Jio IPO update + dividend) with elevated IV into the event.

Key risk: AGM is a binary inside the option window — IV crush likely afterward.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
MARKET	US FOMC rate decision	Jun 16-17	Macro	LARGE	Market-wide volatility driver for the whole tape this week.
RELIANCE	49th AGM (Jio IPO update + FY26 dividend)	Jun 19	AGM	LARGE	Binary catalyst; expect elevated IV into the event and a crush after.
SBIN	71st AGM (routine)	Jun 18	AGM	SMALL	No dividend surprise; low IV impact.
HDFCBANK	Final dividend Rs13	record ~Jun 19	Dividend	SMALL	~0.6% of price; mechanical, minor.
HINDUNILVR	Final dividend Rs22	ex Jun 23	Dividend	SMALL	~0.9% of price, below strike-adjustment threshold; clean gap-down.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
TCS	Q1 · DEEP	₹2,163	₹3,218	-48.8%	₹2,420	₹3,354
HDFCBANK	Q1 · DEEP	₹777.5	₹925.9	-19.1%	₹764.2	₹957.6
SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,765	₹2,017	-14.3%	₹1,854	₹2,102
ETERNAL	MID	₹251.3	₹283.6	-12.8%	₹244.0	₹299.8
WIPRO	Q1	₹181.1	₹203.6	-12.4%	₹176.2	₹233.4
HINDUNILVR	Q1	₹2,155	₹2,370	-10.0%	₹2,178	₹2,429
ONGC	Q1	₹243.7	₹264.9	-8.7%	₹258.5	₹297.7
TATACONSUM	Q1	₹1,099	₹1,180	-7.4%	₹1,097	₹1,201
RELIANCE	Q1	₹1,306	₹1,402	-7.3%	₹1,329	₹1,458
HCLTECH	MID	₹1,122	₹1,201	-7.0%	₹1,090	₹1,607
TATASTEEL	Q1	₹197.5	₹210.4	-6.5%	₹190.8	₹217.2
NTPC	Q1	₹348.3	₹367.3	-5.5%	₹356.2	₹405.1
POWERGRID	Q1	₹285.6	₹300.4	-5.2%	₹280.9	₹318.6
SBIN	Q1	₹1,021	₹1,068	-4.6%	₹974.6	₹1,114
HDFCLIFE	MID	₹581.5	₹604.0	-3.9%	₹543.0	₹723.4
ITC	MID	₹288.2	₹296.1	-2.8%	₹288.3	₹323.3
TECHM	MID	₹1,427	₹1,460	-2.3%	₹1,319	₹1,584
COALINDIA	Q1	₹447.5	₹457.3	-2.2%	₹428.1	₹473.2
BAJAJFINSV	MID	₹1,750	₹1,773	-1.3%	₹1,626	₹1,994
ICICIBANK	MID	₹1,328	₹1,346	-1.3%	₹1,228	₹1,375
JIOFIN	MID	₹239.4	₹242.5	-1.3%	₹227.2	₹262.8
INFY	MID	₹1,136	₹1,147	-1.0%	₹1,066	₹1,481
BEL	MID	₹409.6	₹412.5	-0.7%	₹404.0	₹443.3
ULTRACEMCO	MID	₹11,468	₹11,505	-0.3%	₹10,892	₹12,497
SHRIRAMFIN	MID	₹999.0	₹1,001	-0.2%	₹937.5	₹1,070
M&M	MID	₹3,134	₹3,130	+0.1%	₹2,935	₹3,489
ADANIPORTS	MID	₹1,809	₹1,804	+0.3%	₹1,438	₹1,860
BHARTIARTL	MID	₹1,843	₹1,831	+0.7%	₹1,756	₹1,993
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,279	₹1,271	+0.7%	₹1,243	₹1,337
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹9,936	₹9,793	+1.4%	₹8,788	₹9,967
MAXHEALTH	MID	₹1,030	₹1,014	+1.6%	₹960.9	₹1,060
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,298	₹1,274	+1.9%	₹1,175	₹1,303
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹941.0	₹917.9	+2.5%	₹871.1	₹985.2
TRENT	MID	₹2,902	₹2,827	+2.6%	₹2,550	₹2,892
CIPLA	MID	₹1,382	₹1,324	+4.2%	₹1,275	₹1,450
TITAN	MID	₹4,285	₹4,090	+4.5%	₹3,949	₹4,298
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,804	₹1,718	+4.8%	₹1,666	₹1,823
MARUTI	MID	₹13,806	₹13,132	+4.9%	₹12,256	₹15,023
NESTLEIND	MID	₹1,375	₹1,306	+5.0%	₹1,161	₹1,390
LT	MID	₹4,171	₹3,943	+5.5%	₹3,823	₹4,190
KOTAKBANK	Q5	₹404.9	₹380.3	+6.1%	₹351.4	₹420.2
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,639	₹7,120	+6.8%	₹6,846	₹7,422
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,365	₹1,270	+6.9%	₹1,224	₹1,353
INDIGO	MID	₹4,886	₹4,514	+7.6%	₹4,129	₹4,862
HINDALCO	MID	₹1,013	₹933.2	+7.9%	₹839.8	₹1,034
APOLLOHOSP	MID	₹8,470	₹7,749	+8.5%	₹6,901	₹7,825
GRASIM	Q5	₹3,170	₹2,850	+10.1%	₹2,664	₹2,963
TMPV	Q5	₹396.5	₹356.3	+10.1%	₹336.4	₹384.1
ASIANPAINT	Q5	₹2,737	₹2,424	+11.4%	₹2,349	₹2,793
ADANIENT	Q5	₹2,940	₹2,230	+24.2%	₹1,777	₹2,451

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 15 Jun 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.