Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is +0.2% from its 6-month POC.

11 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 1 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 16 Jun 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 16 Jun 2026, 17:57 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,995.0

last close

6-month POC

23,954.0

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

+0.2%

at value (POC)

Oversold names

11 / 50

1 deeply oversold

View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →

📊 Today's read

Nifty closed at 23,995, just +0.17% above its 6-month POC — a balanced, no-edge zone for the index itself. Breadth thinned into the close: 11 of 49 names oversold, with one deep dislocation (SBILIFE). HDFCBANK and Coal India dropped out of the oversold zone as their POCs drifted down to meet price (the textbook way most of these gaps close). The tape is in a second-week losing streak on geopolitical tension and a global tech correction. The opportunity lives in a handful of dislocated single names, not the index.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 16 Jun 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,766	₹2,018	-14.3%	+14.3%	1,851.6 – 2,103.5	74%	+7.5%	MED
2	WIPRO	Q1	—	₹182.7	₹203.6	-11.4%	+11.4%	176.2 – 232.9	48%	+1.1%	MED
3	TCS	Q1	LOW	₹2,198	₹2,409	-9.6%	+9.6%	2,110.0 – 2,960.3	53%	+1.5%	HIGH
4	HINDUNILVR	Q1	—	₹2,197	₹2,370	-7.9%	+7.9%	2,173.2 – 2,424.5	68%	+4.3%	HIGH
5	TATASTEEL	Q1	—	₹196.1	₹210.4	-7.3%	+7.3%	191.2 – 217.2	64%	+7.1%	MED
6	ONGC	Q1	—	₹248.2	₹264.9	-6.7%	+6.7%	258.4 – 297.6	59%	+3.9%	MED
7	RELIANCE	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,328	₹1,401	-5.5%	+5.5%	1,328.7 – 1,457.4	72%	+9.7%	HIGH
8	POWERGRID	Q1	—	₹285.4	₹300.4	-5.2%	+5.2%	280.9 – 318.0	58%	+2.8%	MED
9	SBIN	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,016	₹1,068	-5.2%	+5.2%	974.6 – 1,114.3	82%	+8.7%	HIGH
10	TATACONSUM	Q1	LOW	₹1,131	₹1,180	-4.4%	+4.4%	1,097.2 – 1,201.2	78%	+9.9%	LOW
11	NTPC	Q1	—	₹355.9	₹367.3	-3.2%	+3.2%	356.2 – 405.1	63%	+3.9%	MED

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

SBILIFESTRONG

Structure: Only Q1_DEEP today: -14.3% below 6M POC, ~74% historical hit rate at this depth, POC flat. Realistic 60-day expectation ~+7.5%.

News: Bounced +3% on Jun 15; down ~5.7% on the month. A small ~1.2% dividend adjustment hit the price history on Jun 11 (absorbed, not a structural break). Earnings ~mid-July.

Key risk: Rich-multiple insurer (P/E ~69) can stay below POC longer than 60 days in a risk-off tape.

SBINMODERATE

Structure: Q1, -5.2% from POC but the strongest historical hit rate on the board (~82%) and a rising POC (+10% over 20d). 71st AGM Jun 18.

News: Board exploring up to $2B long-term fund raise in FY27; dividend Rs17.35 already paid. AGM Jun 18 typically low-impact.

Key risk: Bank AGM and broad risk-off could cap any near-term bounce.

RELIANCEMODERATE

Structure: Q1, -5.5% from POC, ~72% hit rate and one of the better 60-day expectations (~+9.7%). 49th AGM Jun 19 is a genuine catalyst.

News: AGM Jun 19 (Jio/retail/new-energy updates can move the stock +/-2-4%). Final dividend Rs6 already ex (Jun 5).

Key risk: AGM is a binary event — announcements can disappoint as easily as surprise.

TCSLOW

Structure: Q1, -9.6% from POC but the POC is migrating down fast (-23% over 20d) and the realistic 60-day move is only ~+1.5%; hit rate ~53%.

News: Sector-wide IT derate continues; Q1 FY27 results land ~Jul 10 (an IV event).

Key risk: A fast-falling POC means the gap may keep closing by the POC dropping, not price rising.

TATACONSUMLOW

Structure: Attractive Q1 stats (~78% hit, ~+9.9% expected) but only -4.4% below POC and, critically, thin option liquidity — hard to build a clean spread.

News: No fresh negative news; stock up ~3.9% on the month.

Key risk: Low option liquidity makes execution costly; shallow dislocation.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
SBIN	71st AGM	Jun 18	AGM	SMALL	Bank AGMs rarely move price; informational.
RELIANCE	49th AGM	Jun 19	AGM	MEDIUM	Jio/retail/new-energy announcements can move RIL +/-2-4%; a real volatility event.
HDFCBANK	Ex-dividend Rs13	Jun 19	Dividend	SMALL	~1.7% of price; minor, largely priced in.
HINDUNILVR	Ex-dividend Rs22 + AGM Jun 30	Jun 23	Dividend	SMALL	~1.0% of price; factor into option breakeven.
TCS	Q1 FY27 results	~Jul 10	Earnings	MEDIUM	IV event; guidance can drive a gap either way.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,766	₹2,018	-14.3%	₹1,852	₹2,104
WIPRO	Q1	₹182.7	₹203.6	-11.4%	₹176.2	₹232.9
TCS	Q1	₹2,198	₹2,409	-9.6%	₹2,110	₹2,960
HINDUNILVR	Q1	₹2,197	₹2,370	-7.9%	₹2,173	₹2,424
TATASTEEL	Q1	₹196.1	₹210.4	-7.3%	₹191.2	₹217.2
ONGC	Q1	₹248.2	₹264.9	-6.7%	₹258.4	₹297.6
RELIANCE	Q1	₹1,328	₹1,401	-5.5%	₹1,329	₹1,457
POWERGRID	Q1	₹285.4	₹300.4	-5.2%	₹280.9	₹318.0
SBIN	Q1	₹1,016	₹1,068	-5.2%	₹974.6	₹1,114
HDFCLIFE	MID	₹575.2	₹604.4	-5.1%	₹543.0	₹722.1
TATACONSUM	Q1	₹1,131	₹1,180	-4.4%	₹1,097	₹1,201
HCLTECH	MID	₹1,160	₹1,199	-3.3%	₹1,090	₹1,603
NTPC	Q1	₹355.9	₹367.3	-3.2%	₹356.2	₹405.1
ULTRACEMCO	MID	₹11,395	₹11,694	-2.6%	₹10,892	₹12,497
ITC	MID	₹291.9	₹296.1	-1.4%	₹285.9	₹319.6
COALINDIA	MID	₹450.8	₹457.2	-1.4%	₹428.0	₹473.2
BEL	MID	₹408.0	₹412.5	-1.1%	₹404.0	₹443.3
ICICIBANK	MID	₹1,336	₹1,346	-0.8%	₹1,228	₹1,375
TECHM	MID	₹1,450	₹1,460	-0.7%	₹1,319	₹1,581
JIOFIN	MID	₹241.7	₹242.2	-0.2%	₹227.5	₹262.4
INFY	MID	₹1,145	₹1,147	-0.2%	₹1,066	₹1,473
HDFCBANK	MID	₹784.8	₹784.8	+0.0%	₹728.3	₹922.7
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,275	₹1,273	+0.2%	₹1,177	₹1,302
M&M	MID	₹3,137	₹3,130	+0.2%	₹2,935	₹3,481
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,278	₹1,272	+0.5%	₹1,241	₹1,335
SHRIRAMFIN	MID	₹1,006	₹1,000.0	+0.6%	₹938.6	₹1,067
ADANIPORTS	MID	₹1,821	₹1,806	+0.8%	₹1,440	₹1,861
BAJAJFINSV	MID	₹1,789	₹1,773	+0.9%	₹1,626	₹1,989
ETERNAL	MID	₹253.6	₹251.1	+1.0%	₹221.2	₹277.4
MAXHEALTH	MID	₹1,025	₹1,014	+1.1%	₹960.9	₹1,060
BHARTIARTL	MID	₹1,854	₹1,833	+1.2%	₹1,757	₹1,991
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹9,945	₹9,794	+1.5%	₹8,788	₹9,968
TRENT	MID	₹2,898	₹2,827	+2.4%	₹2,550	₹2,898
CIPLA	MID	₹1,375	₹1,324	+3.7%	₹1,275	₹1,441
MARUTI	MID	₹13,687	₹13,132	+4.1%	₹12,256	₹15,021
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹959.5	₹917.9	+4.3%	₹871.1	₹985.2
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,805	₹1,718	+4.8%	₹1,666	₹1,823
HINDALCO	MID	₹984.0	₹933.4	+5.1%	₹839.8	₹1,033
LT	MID	₹4,182	₹3,943	+5.7%	₹3,823	₹4,198
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,552	₹7,120	+5.7%	₹6,832	₹7,423
TITAN	MID	₹4,337	₹4,087	+5.8%	₹3,954	₹4,302
NESTLEIND	MID	₹1,390	₹1,300	+6.5%	₹1,159	₹1,391
INDIGO	MID	₹4,840	₹4,514	+6.7%	₹4,129	₹4,853
KOTAKBANK	Q5	₹407.9	₹380.3	+6.8%	₹351.4	₹419.4
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,363	₹1,270	+6.8%	₹1,224	₹1,353
APOLLOHOSP	MID	₹8,400	₹7,757	+7.6%	₹6,894	₹7,833
GRASIM	Q5	₹3,143	₹2,834	+9.8%	₹2,658	₹2,964
TMPV	Q5	₹393.1	₹351.0	+10.7%	₹336.1	₹384.6
ASIANPAINT	Q5	₹2,750	₹2,424	+11.9%	₹2,349	₹2,793
ADANIENT	Q5	₹2,944	₹2,227	+24.3%	₹1,775	₹2,467

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 16 Jun 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.