Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is +0.1% from its 6-month POC.

11 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 0 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 19 Jun 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 19 Jun 2026, 10:56 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,966.7

last close

6-month POC

23,950.9

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

+0.1%

at value (POC)

Oversold names

11 / 50

0 deeply oversold

View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →

📊 Today's read

Nifty 50 is sitting almost exactly on its 6-month value-area POC (~23,950) — a MID, no-edge reading after a 5th straight up day led by financials and pharma. IT continues to lag on a hawkish Fed (FOMC Jun 17). No stock is in the deep-oversold (Q1_DEEP) tier today; 11 names sit in the shallower Q1 zone. With the index at fair value, the dispersion is all single-stock: a cluster of beaten-down IT (TCS, WIPRO) at the deep end vs. financials/FMCG that have already started reverting.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 19 Jun 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	TCS	Q1	LOW	₹2,073	₹2,405	-16.0%	+16.0%	2,059.9 – 2,928.6	53%	+1.5%	HIGH
2	WIPRO	Q1	—	₹176.8	₹203.6	-15.2%	+15.2%	175.5 – 231.7	48%	+1.1%	MED
3	SBILIFE	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,810	₹2,021	-11.7%	+11.7%	1,843.2 – 2,101.8	74%	+7.5%	MED
4	ONGC	Q1	—	₹244.3	₹264.9	-8.4%	+8.4%	258.4 – 297.6	59%	+3.9%	MED
5	HINDUNILVR	Q1	LOW	₹2,196	₹2,370	-7.9%	+7.9%	2,173.2 – 2,424.5	68%	+4.3%	HIGH
6	TATASTEEL	Q1	—	₹197.9	₹210.2	-6.2%	+6.2%	191.8 – 217.0	64%	+7.1%	MED
7	TATACONSUM	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,112	₹1,180	-6.1%	+6.1%	1,097.1 – 1,200.8	78%	+9.9%	LOW
8	TECHM	Q1	—	₹1,378	₹1,460	-5.9%	+5.9%	1,318.8 – 1,568.4	66%	+5.6%	MED
9	RELIANCE	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,330	₹1,401	-5.4%	+5.4%	1,323.0 – 1,448.7	72%	+9.7%	HIGH
10	POWERGRID	Q1	—	₹289.4	₹300.3	-3.8%	+3.8%	280.9 – 316.8	58%	+2.8%	MED
11	SBIN	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,033	₹1,068	-3.5%	+3.5%	974.6 – 1,114.3	82%	+8.7%	HIGH

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

SBILIFEMODERATE

Structure: Deepest oversold name still in the tradeable tier — ~12% below its 6M POC with a ~74% historical mean-reversion hit rate over 60 days.

Key risk: Insurers are rate-sensitive; a hawkish rate path can cap the rebound.

SBINMODERATE

Structure: Shallow dip (~3.5% below POC) but an 82% historical hit rate, riding strong PSU-bank momentum after June's RBI forex measures; FY27 fundraise approved at the Jun 18 AGM.

News: PSU banks rallied through June; SBIN AGM Jun 18 approved a non-dilutive debt fundraise.

Key risk: Shallow signal can normalise quickly with little follow-through.

RELIANCEMODERATE

Structure: ~5% below POC with one of the highest expected 60-day moves on the board; structure constructive.

News: 49th AGM today (Jun 19) — Jio-IPO timeline and AI strategy are the binary catalysts.

Key risk: AGM is a binary event; disappointment on Jio-IPO clarity could reprice the move.

TCSLOW

Structure: Deepest dislocation on the board (~16% below POC) but the POC itself is falling fast (-25%/20d) and the historical hit rate at this name is the weakest of the IT block.

News: IT-sector overhang persists on a hawkish Fed and AI-valuation fears; Q1 FY27 results due ~Jul 9-10.

Key risk: Earnings into a falling POC are downside-skewed — a falling knife until guidance stabilises.

TATACONSUMMODERATE

Structure: Best expected-value setup quantitatively (~78% hit x ~10% mean 60-day move) but option liquidity is thin, so it is a watch rather than a clean trade.

Key risk: Low option liquidity makes spreads expensive to enter and exit.

HINDUNILVRLOW

Structure: Defensive FMCG ~8% below POC; modest expected move and a near-term ex-dividend to account for.

News: Ex-dividend Rs 22 (~1%) on Jun 23; 93rd AGM Jun 30.

Key risk: Defensive name with a small expected move; ex-date trims the rebound slightly.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
RELIANCE	49th AGM (Jio IPO / AI strategy)	Jun 19	AGM	LARGE	Binary catalyst; can drive an event-day move in either direction.
HINDUNILVR	Ex-dividend Rs 22 (~1%)	Jun 23	Dividend	SMALL	Minor price adjustment on the ex-date; largely priced in.
NIFTY	June F&O monthly expiry	Jun 30 (Tue)	Expiry	MEDIUM	Near-dated option decay and roll pressure into month-end.
TCS	Q1 FY27 results (+ interim dividend)	~Jul 9-10 (est.)	Earnings	LARGE	Downside-skewed into a falling POC and IT-sector overhang; verify date on NSE/Kite.

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
TCS	Q1	₹2,073	₹2,405	-16.0%	₹2,060	₹2,929
WIPRO	Q1	₹176.8	₹203.6	-15.2%	₹175.5	₹231.7
SBILIFE	Q1	₹1,810	₹2,021	-11.7%	₹1,843	₹2,102
INFY	MID	₹1,041	₹1,148	-10.3%	₹1,030	₹1,465
ONGC	Q1	₹244.3	₹264.9	-8.4%	₹258.4	₹297.6
HINDUNILVR	Q1	₹2,196	₹2,370	-7.9%	₹2,173	₹2,424
HCLTECH	MID	₹1,114	₹1,201	-7.8%	₹1,090	₹1,592
TATASTEEL	Q1	₹197.9	₹210.2	-6.2%	₹191.8	₹217.0
TATACONSUM	Q1	₹1,112	₹1,180	-6.1%	₹1,097	₹1,201
TECHM	Q1	₹1,378	₹1,460	-5.9%	₹1,319	₹1,568
RELIANCE	Q1	₹1,330	₹1,401	-5.4%	₹1,323	₹1,449
POWERGRID	Q1	₹289.4	₹300.3	-3.8%	₹280.9	₹316.8
SBIN	Q1	₹1,033	₹1,068	-3.5%	₹974.6	₹1,114
HDFCLIFE	MID	₹586.8	₹603.9	-2.9%	₹543.0	₹719.2
ULTRACEMCO	MID	₹11,424	₹11,694	-2.4%	₹10,868	₹12,426
ITC	MID	₹290.0	₹296.1	-2.1%	₹287.1	₹319.5
M&M	MID	₹3,096	₹3,133	-1.2%	₹2,938	₹3,469
COALINDIA	MID	₹453.1	₹457.2	-0.9%	₹428.8	₹473.2
BAJAJFINSV	MID	₹1,763	₹1,776	-0.7%	₹1,626	₹1,980
HDFCBANK	MID	₹780.3	₹785.3	-0.6%	₹728.3	₹920.6
NTPC	MID	₹365.6	₹367.2	-0.5%	₹356.1	₹404.2
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,262	₹1,268	-0.4%	₹1,243	₹1,337
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,353	₹1,356	-0.2%	₹1,252	₹1,374
SHRIRAMFIN	MID	₹1,004	₹1,004	-0.0%	₹944.9	₹1,070
ICICIBANK	MID	₹1,347	₹1,345	+0.1%	₹1,230	₹1,377
TMPV	MID	₹357.1	₹356.1	+0.3%	₹336.8	₹384.8
JIOFIN	MID	₹245.3	₹242.4	+1.2%	₹227.2	₹260.5
JSWSTEEL	MID	₹1,291	₹1,273	+1.4%	₹1,179	₹1,302
ADANIPORTS	MID	₹1,836	₹1,806	+1.6%	₹1,441	₹1,858
MARUTI	MID	₹13,438	₹13,142	+2.2%	₹12,269	₹14,997
CIPLA	MID	₹1,357	₹1,324	+2.5%	₹1,281	₹1,436
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹10,046	₹9,788	+2.6%	₹9,322	₹10,467
ETERNAL	MID	₹258.7	₹251.1	+2.9%	₹221.2	₹275.9
BEL	MID	₹425.9	₹412.6	+3.1%	₹404.1	₹442.6
BHARTIARTL	MID	₹1,896	₹1,832	+3.4%	₹1,757	₹1,983
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,570	₹7,309	+3.5%	₹6,803	₹7,425
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹964.8	₹917.9	+4.9%	₹874.9	₹985.3
KOTAKBANK	MID	₹400.3	₹380.3	+5.0%	₹351.4	₹417.1
LT	MID	₹4,168	₹3,943	+5.4%	₹3,823	₹4,199
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,828	₹1,719	+6.0%	₹1,691	₹1,845
MAXHEALTH	MID	₹1,087	₹1,015	+6.6%	₹957.8	₹1,057
TITAN	MID	₹4,395	₹4,087	+7.0%	₹3,954	₹4,304
NESTLEIND	Q5	₹1,405	₹1,305	+7.1%	₹1,159	₹1,397
HINDALCO	MID	₹1,005	₹932.7	+7.2%	₹861.8	₹1,036
APOLLOHOSP	MID	₹8,484	₹7,752	+8.6%	₹6,871	₹7,843
INDIGO	MID	₹4,978	₹4,514	+9.3%	₹4,129	₹4,853
GRASIM	Q5	₹3,156	₹2,834	+10.2%	₹2,641	₹2,964
TRENT	MID	₹3,170	₹2,826	+10.8%	₹2,532	₹2,897
ASIANPAINT	Q5	₹2,735	₹2,424	+11.4%	₹2,349	₹2,793
ADANIENT	Q5	₹3,029	₹2,227	+26.5%	₹1,775	₹2,489

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 19 Jun 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.