Daily Market Profile scan · Nifty 50

The index is +0.2% from its 6-month POC.

14 of 50 Nifty constituents are trading below value today — 1 of them deeply oversold. Here's the full structural picture: spot vs POC, value areas, and the mean-reversion tiers.

Data as of 24 Jun 2026 close (IST)

Last updated 24 Jun 2026, 11:35 IST

📁 Archived snapshot. See today's scan →

Nifty 50 spot

23,986.0

last close

6-month POC

23,946.0

fair-value anchor

Distance from POC

+0.2%

at value (POC)

Oversold names

14 / 50

1 deeply oversold

View full Nifty 50 detail — POC chart, value area & signal history →

📊 Today's read

Nifty has mean-reverted right back onto its 6M POC — spot 23,986 vs POC 23,946 (+0.17%, MID). The broad oversold index setup from May has fully closed; there is no index-level edge here now. Breadth has compressed to 14 of 49 names still oversold (Q1), with just one deep name (SBILIFE) left in the Q1_DEEP tier. The tape is constructive (Nifty +1.65% on the week, resistance 24,200/24,400) and there is no binary macro catalyst within 48h — the June RBI MPC is past, the next is August.

Nifty 50 POC distance heatmap, 24 Jun 2026 — Each tile shows a constituent's distance from its 6-month POC. Cooler/deeper = more oversold.

Oversold watch — Q1 & Q1·DEEP

Constituents in the oversold quantile tiers, deepest first. These are the names the mean-reversion method watches. "Setup" is position-blind backtest-tier quality, not a recommendation. Stats are historical, not predictions.

#	Stock	Signal	Setup	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	Upside to POC	Value area (VAL–VAH)	Hist 60d hit	Hist 60d ret	Opt liq
1	SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	STRONG	₹1,760	₹2,019	-14.7%	+14.7%	1,838.5 – 2,103.2	74%	+7.5%	MED
2	WIPRO	Q1	—	₹172.6	₹203.6	-17.9%	+17.9%	171.9 – 229.6	48%	+1.1%	MED
3	TCS	Q1	LOW	₹2,089	₹2,404	-15.1%	+15.1%	2,077.6 – 2,776.5	53%	+1.5%	HIGH
4	HINDUNILVR	Q1	MODERATE	₹2,154	₹2,371	-10.1%	+10.1%	2,170.5 – 2,425.6	68%	+4.3%	HIGH
5	TATASTEEL	Q1	—	₹192.7	₹210.3	-9.1%	+9.1%	192.2 – 217.1	64%	+7.1%	MED
6	ONGC	Q1	—	₹242.9	₹264.9	-9.0%	+9.0%	258.4 – 298.1	59%	+3.9%	MED
7	TATACONSUM	Q1	—	₹1,096	₹1,182	-7.8%	+7.8%	1,096.9 – 1,200.4	78%	+9.9%	LOW
8	RELIANCE	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,311	₹1,402	-6.9%	+6.9%	1,313.0 – 1,438.2	72%	+9.7%	HIGH
9	ULTRACEMCO	Q1	—	₹11,426	₹12,095	-5.9%	+5.9%	10,867.9 – 12,402.0	76%	+7.4%	MED
10	POWERGRID	Q1	—	₹289.1	₹300.3	-3.9%	+3.9%	280.9 – 315.6	58%	+2.8%	MED
11	SBIN	Q1	MODERATE	₹1,032	₹1,068	-3.5%	+3.5%	976.7 – 1,114.3	82%	+8.7%	HIGH
12	COALINDIA	Q1	—	₹443.9	₹456.9	-2.9%	+2.9%	430.2 – 473.8	58%	+1.4%	MED
13	JSWSTEEL	Q1	—	₹1,239	₹1,274	-2.8%	+2.8%	1,182.3 – 1,303.6	75%	+10.3%	MED
14	NTPC	Q1	—	₹357.9	₹366.7	-2.5%	+2.5%	357.1 – 403.7	63%	+3.9%	MED

Today's read on the deepest setups

Position-blind notes on the most-stretched names — what the structure shows, recent news, and the key risk. Setup quality only; not a recommendation and not portfolio advice.

SBILIFESTRONG

Structure: Lone Q1_DEEP today, -14.7% below its 6M POC with a flat POC trend (no discontinuity). Deep-tier mean-reversion setups historically hit ~75-80% over 60 days.

News: At a 52-week low on soft May new-business-premium growth (-9.6% YoY); analyst target ~1,970 sits above spot.

Key risk: A second soft monthly premium print could extend the slide below 1,750.

TCSLOW

Structure: Deep on price (-15.1% from POC) but the historical hit rate on this name is weak (~53%) and the POC has drifted sharply lower on the sector-wide IT derate.

News: FY26 dividends (final Rs31 paid Jun 12) are done; the weakness is sentiment/guidance-driven, not a corporate event.

Key risk: Further FY27 guidance cuts across IT would extend the derate.

HINDUNILVRMODERATE

Structure: -10.1% below POC with a positive fundamental backdrop — strongest quarterly volume growth (+6%) in 15 quarters and a Q4 profit beat (+21.4% YoY).

News: Went ex-dividend Rs22 (FY26 final) on Jun 23 — ~1% of price, minor.

Key risk: FMCG demand recovery stalling would cap the bounce.

RELIANCEMODERATE

Structure: -6.9% below POC with a strong expected 60-day move (~+9.7%). The AGM (Jun 19) and Rs6 dividend (record Jun 5) are both behind us, clearing the binary event risk.

News: FY26 net profit +17.8% YoY; any Jio-IPO progress remains a re-rating trigger.

Key risk: Energy-margin softness or a delayed Jio timeline.

SBINMODERATE

Structure: Shallow but clean Q1 (-3.5% from POC) with the highest historical hit rate of the pack (~82%). AGM (Jun 18) and Rs17.35 dividend (paid Jun 4) are past.

News: FY26 dividend raised 9.1% YoY; no overhang.

Key risk: Shallow depth means a smaller mean-reversion runway.

Events on the radar

Dividends, earnings and macro dates that can move these names or their option pricing over the next ~90 days.

Stock	Event	Date	Type	Magnitude	Impact
HINDUNILVR	Ex-dividend Rs22 (FY26 final)	Jun 23 (passed)	Dividend	SMALL	~1% of price; already ex, minor option-pricing effect
RELIANCE	AGM + Rs6 dividend	Jun 19 / Jun 5 (passed)	AGM/Dividend	SMALL	Binary AGM/Jio-IPO event cleared; no repricing risk left
SBIN	AGM + Rs17.35 dividend	Jun 18 / Jun 4 (passed)	AGM/Dividend	SMALL	Both passed; no overhang
SBILIFE	May NBP / persistency data	~mid-Jul	Data	MEDIUM	A second soft monthly print could extend the dip
NIFTY	RBI MPC	Aug 2026	Macro	MEDIUM	After current expiry; not in the near window

Full Nifty 50 scan

Every constituent, sorted most-oversold to most-extended. Spot, 6-month POC and value-area bounds for all 50 names.

Show all 50 names

Stock	Signal	Spot	6M POC	% from POC	VAL	VAH
WIPRO	Q1	₹172.6	₹203.6	-17.9%	₹171.9	₹229.6
TCS	Q1	₹2,089	₹2,404	-15.1%	₹2,078	₹2,777
SBILIFE	Q1 · DEEP	₹1,760	₹2,019	-14.7%	₹1,839	₹2,103
HINDUNILVR	Q1	₹2,154	₹2,371	-10.1%	₹2,171	₹2,426
INFY	MID	₹1,049	₹1,150	-9.5%	₹1,051	₹1,402
TATASTEEL	Q1	₹192.7	₹210.3	-9.1%	₹192.2	₹217.1
ONGC	Q1	₹242.9	₹264.9	-9.0%	₹258.4	₹298.1
TATACONSUM	Q1	₹1,096	₹1,182	-7.8%	₹1,097	₹1,200
HCLTECH	MID	₹1,116	₹1,199	-7.4%	₹1,090	₹1,527
RELIANCE	Q1	₹1,311	₹1,402	-6.9%	₹1,313	₹1,438
ULTRACEMCO	Q1	₹11,426	₹12,095	-5.9%	₹10,868	₹12,402
POWERGRID	Q1	₹289.1	₹300.3	-3.9%	₹280.9	₹315.6
SBIN	Q1	₹1,032	₹1,068	-3.5%	₹976.7	₹1,114
COALINDIA	Q1	₹443.9	₹456.9	-2.9%	₹430.2	₹473.8
JSWSTEEL	Q1	₹1,239	₹1,274	-2.8%	₹1,182	₹1,304
NTPC	Q1	₹357.9	₹366.7	-2.5%	₹357.1	₹403.7
M&M	MID	₹3,061	₹3,131	-2.3%	₹2,938	₹3,447
TMPV	MID	₹348.9	₹356.1	-2.1%	₹336.8	₹384.7
ITC	MID	₹290.6	₹296.3	-2.0%	₹281.9	₹311.9
JIOFIN	MID	₹237.9	₹242.3	-1.9%	₹227.7	₹258.4
HDFCLIFE	MID	₹587.9	₹596.8	-1.5%	₹543.0	₹715.8
TECHM	MID	₹1,446	₹1,459	-0.9%	₹1,322	₹1,541
ADANIPORTS	MID	₹1,799	₹1,806	-0.4%	₹1,441	₹1,859
BAJAJ-AUTO	MID	₹9,778	₹9,782	-0.0%	₹9,334	₹10,424
SHRIRAMFIN	MID	₹1,004	₹1,003	+0.1%	₹949.1	₹1,071
HDFCBANK	MID	₹789.9	₹785.7	+0.5%	₹727.5	₹916.8
MARUTI	MID	₹13,238	₹13,136	+0.8%	₹12,242	₹14,952
BAJAJFINSV	MID	₹1,785	₹1,771	+0.8%	₹1,626	₹1,959
BEL	MID	₹417.9	₹412.7	+1.2%	₹404.1	₹441.8
AXISBANK	MID	₹1,377	₹1,355	+1.6%	₹1,257	₹1,374
ICICIBANK	MID	₹1,373	₹1,345	+2.0%	₹1,230	₹1,377
ETERNAL	MID	₹258.7	₹251.1	+2.9%	₹224.2	₹275.4
BHARTIARTL	MID	₹1,889	₹1,832	+3.0%	₹1,757	₹1,968
TITAN	MID	₹4,269	₹4,088	+4.2%	₹3,971	₹4,322
DRREDDY	MID	₹1,333	₹1,269	+4.8%	₹1,241	₹1,335
HINDALCO	MID	₹987.3	₹934.1	+5.4%	₹878.3	₹1,042
LT	MID	₹4,188	₹3,943	+5.8%	₹3,831	₹4,215
MAXHEALTH	MID	₹1,079	₹1,015	+6.0%	₹957.8	₹1,057
EICHERMOT	MID	₹7,559	₹7,099	+6.1%	₹6,782	₹7,446
BAJFINANCE	MID	₹979.8	₹917.9	+6.3%	₹878.6	₹985.3
KOTAKBANK	Q5	₹406.1	₹380.3	+6.3%	₹351.4	₹413.2
NESTLEIND	MID	₹1,395	₹1,306	+6.4%	₹1,159	₹1,400
CIPLA	Q5	₹1,432	₹1,326	+7.4%	₹1,292	₹1,439
SUNPHARMA	MID	₹1,871	₹1,719	+8.1%	₹1,687	₹1,845
GRASIM	MID	₹3,109	₹2,849	+8.4%	₹2,627	₹2,968
ASIANPAINT	Q5	₹2,665	₹2,424	+9.0%	₹2,350	₹2,779
APOLLOHOSP	MID	₹8,547	₹7,747	+9.4%	₹6,803	₹7,838
INDIGO	MID	₹5,073	₹4,514	+11.0%	₹4,129	₹4,863
TRENT	MID	₹3,208	₹2,826	+11.9%	₹2,516	₹2,897
ADANIENT	Q5	₹3,012	₹2,227	+26.0%	₹1,775	₹2,516

Nifty 50 sector stress map, 24 Jun 2026 — Sector stress — share of each sector trading below value.

How to read this

A daily volume-and-time Market Profile scan of the Nifty 50. We measure how far each stock trades from its 6-month Point of Control (POC) — the price where the most activity has occurred — and flag mean-reversion setups.

POC — Point of Control

The single price with the highest traded volume/time over the last 6 months. It acts as a fair-value magnet: price tends to revert toward it.

Value Area (VAL–VAH)

The band containing ~70% of activity, from Value-Area-Low to Value-Area-High. Trading below VAL means a stock is stretched below where the market agreed on value.

Q1 / Q1·DEEP signals

Quantile of a stock's distance-from-POC vs its own history. Q1 = unusually oversold; Q1·DEEP = in the deepest tail. These are the mean-reversion watch tiers.

Q1·DEEP edge

75–80%60-day hit rate

+11%mean 60-day return

From a 49-stock × 5-year backtest.

Q1 edge

64–67%60-day hit rate

+5%mean 60-day return

Shallower tier — lower, but still positive, expectancy.

What this is not

This is scanner output, not a recommendation. It describes structure derived from public prices. It does not account for news, fundamentals, or your risk. Always do your own work.